Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + Tactical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Tactical

Of 30 developers who shipped a Tactical Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×189 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 41 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 41 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Tactical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $2.7k → $4.0k → $1.5k (still earning) → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Tactical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,346)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $8,982)
Top 5% $283k (exactly $283,387)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 60
Announced 41
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Tactical; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Simulation, Management
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 12,364 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  9. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  10. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
NUTMEG! A Nostalgic Deckbuilding Football Manager $24.99 378 89% 11k $283k (exactly $283,387) Sumo Digital, Sumo Digital Academy
Motion Soccer PRO $19.99 223 79% 6.7k $134k (exactly $133,733) Ivanovich Games
CFS (Chinese Football Simulator) $9.99 290 67% 8.7k $87k (exactly $86,913) 悟空实验室
Football Club Simulator - FCS #21 older $9.95 183 66% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,625) Dinamic Games
Club Manager 2016 older $19.99 66 50% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) BigBlaze Games
Football Agent · EA $11.99 110 82% 3.3k $40k (exactly $39,567) ATERO GAMES
Ganbare! Super Strikers older $9.99 85 85% 2.6k $25k (exactly $25,474) rese
Drunken FC · EA $6.99 71 80% 2.1k $15k (exactly $14,889) Sloppy Games, Red Herring Labs
Football Fictional World Simulator $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) keigo0221
Boeckham's Football Manager $4.99 60 91% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Bitbeast Games
Tactics Unlimited · EA $19.99 13 30% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) 2tainment
Sunday League Manager: Horse and Spoon $8.99 15 93% 450 $4.0k (exactly $4,046) christianosway

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.