Do I ship it?

Games › Football (Soccer) › Football (Soccer) + RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an RPG Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + RPG

Only 10 developers shipped an RPG Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $23M, ×15671 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,619)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,840)
Top 5% $23M (exactly $23,474,646)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 27
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.90

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), RPG
Price point
$5.90 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 11,653 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $23M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  9. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  10. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions 2020 · $9.1M CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS 2026 · $594k New Star™ Manager 2018 · $302k FootLOL: Epic Soccer League 2014 · $204k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS $59.99 330 50% 9.9k $594k (exactly $593,901) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
New Star™ Manager older $19.99 503 87% 15k $302k (exactly $301,649) New Star Games Ltd.
FootLOL: Epic Soccer League older $9.99 680 82% 20k $204k (exactly $203,796) HeroCraft
Bang Average Football – Play, Manage, Create older $11.99 415 95% 12k $149k (exactly $149,276) ruairi dx
Soccer Story older $19.99 123 53% 3.7k $74k (exactly $73,763) PanicBarn
Ganbare! Super Strikers older $9.99 85 85% 2.6k $25k (exactly $25,474) rese
Wild Rumble $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Mean Mink
Football School older $4.99 91 75% 2.7k $14k (exactly $13,623) Raptor Claw Games
Regista: Reign Your Football Club $4.99 68 67% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) dicehit
FootballLife $17.99 3 33% 90 $1.6k (exactly $1,619) 小伍
Road To Glory $5.90 7 28% 210 $1.2k (exactly $1,239) UPLAY Online
Tactilite $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Eloori Interactive
Football Club Inside $3.99 6 66% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Vladimir Pliashkun
Field Pong: Gamesforfarm $0.99 11 100% 330 $327 (exactly $327) Gamesforfarm
KICKSLAUGHT · EA $0.99 8 100% 240 $238 (exactly $238) RedenelGO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.