Do I ship it?

Games › PvP › PvP + Football (Soccer)

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Football (Soccer) game?

PvP + Football (Soccer)

Of 58 developers who shipped a PvP Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 91 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 91 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper, while revenue is flat on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 91 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Football (Soccer)
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $3.3k → $629 → $897 → $1.3k → $748 → $179 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Football (Soccer): Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,796)
Top 5% $23M (exactly $23,474,646)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 177
Announced 91
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Football (Soccer); 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Local Multiplayer, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 61% positive over 174,924 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $630, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $23M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 91 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

EA SPORTS FC™ 26 2025 · $209M REMATCH 2025 · $36M INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions 2020 · $9.1M Pro Soccer Online 2025 · $3.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EA SPORTS FC™ 26 $69.99 99,773 50% 3.0M $209M (exactly $209,493,368) EA Canada, EA Romania
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Pro Soccer Online $4.99 23,241 82% 697k $3.5M (exactly $3,479,178) Skywall Studios LLC
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
WE ARE FOOTBALL older $24.99 839 75% 25k $629k (exactly $628,998) Winning Streak Games
CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS $59.99 330 50% 9.9k $594k (exactly $593,901) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Pixel Cup Soccer - Ultimate Edition older $16.99 876 83% 26k $446k (exactly $446,497) BATOVI Games
World of Football · EA $9.99 197 81% 5.9k $59k (exactly $59,041) Vault Game Studio
Active Soccer 3 $14.99 123 72% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) The Fox Software
Gaelic Football Laochra $34.99 52 78% 1.6k $55k (exactly $54,584) Buck Eejit Games
Looney Tunes: Wacky World of Sports $49.99 34 79% 1.0k $51k (exactly $50,990) Bamtang Games
Pimbolas $9.99 89 94% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) Nano Knight Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.