Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + PvE

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + PvE

Of 31 developers who shipped a PvE Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 23 developers shipped in the last year and 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + PvE
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $359 → $120 → $240 → $479 (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + PvE: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,427)
Top 5% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 59
Announced 24
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 190% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), PvE; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Management, Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 156 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.4k, 1 in 20 over $8.0k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  9. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  10. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Club Manager 2016 older $19.99 66 50% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) BigBlaze Games
Charrua Soccer - Pro Edition older $11.99 102 86% 3.1k $37k (exactly $36,689) BATOVI Games
Beat The Champions $19.99 26 73% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Purple Tree S R L, Whiteboard Games
GOOOAL older $2.99 92 88% 2.8k $8.3k (exactly $8,252) SmoochGM
Empire Eleven 2026 $9.99 27 74% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) NextStation Games
Football Streaker Simulator older $6.49 27 96% 810 $5.3k (exactly $5,257) Ogre Tales
Sunday League Manager: Horse and Spoon $8.99 15 93% 450 $4.0k (exactly $4,046) christianosway
Goaldeck $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Pro Nobis Studio
Crazy Robot Ball $5.99 18 100% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) Blue Band Studio
Gold ’n Goal $2.99 34 55% 1.0k $3.1k (exactly $3,050) Frog Hammer
GOAL3 $8.99 11 90% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) thirteen
Card Revolution Soccer · EA $8.99 9 100% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) LetsPlaymaker Productions
MINI Rugby: World Tour $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Chunky Games
Put One In for Johnny Minn $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) piinecone

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.