Do I ship it?

GamesFootball (Soccer)Football (Soccer) + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Futuristic

Only 10 developers shipped a Futuristic Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, REMATCH, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 6 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $748 (exactly $748)
Top 5% $36M (exactly $35,902,528)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 26
Announced 6
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer)
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 70% positive over 39,923 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $740, 1 in 20 over $35M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  9. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  10. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Footgun: Underground older $14.99 102 85% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) Turtle Knight Games
Dash Cup Kickers · EA older $11.99 12 100% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,316) ROKOJORI
Free Kick X older $0.99 39 97% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,158) Seito Games
Jetball · EA older $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Codevictus Inc.
Savage Arena: Dead Ball Zone $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Rage Software, Jordan Freeman Group
Average Human Ball Game $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Ultra Hypa Studios
Jetpack Stadium · EA older $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Tourism Infinity
Car Football $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Vutune
WarpBall · EA older $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Unruly Attractions
Handgun Football $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) )erek(
FOOSBALL RUNNER $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Kalin Petkov
Super Strike Champions $11.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SilverFoxIGS
Space Soccer Showdown $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Brancoberto
Giraffe Champion 2: Football Rock $29.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) John Ramstedt
MEGA GOAT FOOTBALL: Cyberia Arena $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Balderrama Marcos Leonardo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.