Games › FMV › FMV + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural FMV?
FMV + Supernatural
Only 12 developers shipped a Supernatural FMV in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ghost of Tokyo, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $16k, ×34 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×322 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
|---|---|
| Median | $16k (exactly $16,160) |
| Top 25% | $38k (exactly $37,916) |
| Top 5% | $153k (exactly $153,152) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- FMV
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- FMV; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Simulation, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, Story Rich, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,520 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.2k. 3 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FMV with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SurvivalStrong odds
- + Post-apocalypticStrong odds
- + StrategyStrong odds
- + Multiple EndingsStrong odds
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + Choices MatterStrong odds
- + Dating SimStrong odds
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + SimulationStrong odds
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + Visual NovelStrong odds
- + RPGStrong odds
Comparable games
At Dead Of Night 2020 · $1.6M 
Home Safety Hotline 2024 · $1.2M 
Ghost of Tokyo 2026 · $153k 
Life Eater 2024 · $148k 
SEXOPHOBIA 🔞 2026 · $76k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | At Dead Of Night | older | $15.99 | 3,289 94% | 99k | $1.6M (exactly $1,577,733) | Baggy Cat Ltd. |
| | Home Safety Hotline | older | $14.99 | 2,763 90% | 83k | $1.2M (exactly $1,242,521) | Night Signal Entertainment |
| | Ghost of Tokyo | $12.99 | 393 64% | 12k | $153k (exactly $153,152) | Shadow Veil Studios | |
| | Life Eater | older | $14.99 | 330 86% | 9.9k | $148k (exactly $148,401) | Strange Scaffold |
| | SEXOPHOBIA 🔞 | $14.99 | 168 78% | 5.0k | $76k (exactly $75,550) | Lewd Star | |
 | The Beast Within: A Gabriel Knight® Mystery | older | $5.99 | 252 92% | 7.6k | $45k (exactly $45,284) | Sierra On-Line |
 | Back：Fade | $6.99 | 191 76% | 5.7k | $40k (exactly $40,053) | MYSTERY CROWN | |
 | Yokai: Lust Secret 🪭 | $14.99 | 89 83% | 2.7k | $40k (exactly $40,023) | Lewd Star | |
 | 108 Silly Ways to Die | $10.99 | 115 73% | 3.5k | $38k (exactly $37,916) | SEED Studio | |
 | Hazing - Night Shift | older | $5.99 | 197 68% | 5.9k | $35k (exactly $35,401) | REVVALUTION Studio |
 | 欢迎来到林葬屋 | $6.99 | 148 75% | 4.4k | $31k (exactly $31,036) | MYSTERY CROWN, 火蜥蜴文化 | |
 | 林葬屋前传：冥声 | $6.99 | 133 83% | 4.0k | $28k (exactly $27,890) | MYSTERY CROWN, 火蜥蜴文化 | |
 | 背后3:阴戏 | $6.99 | 129 95% | 3.9k | $27k (exactly $27,051) | MYSTERY CROWN | |
 | 法医探案团之碎嘴小诗 | $3.99 | 135 77% | 4.1k | $16k (exactly $16,160) | 芒果互娱 | |
 | Below | $8.99 | 19 57% | 570 | $5.1k (exactly $5,124) | Gamedev Guy LLC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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