Do I ship it?

Games › JRPG › JRPG + FMV

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an FMV JRPG?

JRPG + FMV

Only 12 developers shipped an FMV JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Endless Abyss: A Busty Cop’s Corrupted Soul, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $54k, ×86 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $6.5k. Revenue is up 1070% on the market; 6 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×0.8 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 85.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 1070% on the market, 6 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + FMV
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.0k → $21k → $35k → $78k → $79k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + FMV: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $6.5k (exactly $6,501)
Median $54k (exactly $53,946)
Top 25% $80k (exactly $80,020)
Top 5% $266k (exactly $266,165)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 35
Announced 6
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1070% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
FMV
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, FMV
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 2,050 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.6k, median $54k, 1 in 4 over $80k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.6k. 6 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  3. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  5. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  8. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  9. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  10. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementFair36 devs · median $2.7k · 27 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Peeping Dorm Manager 2023 · $2.0M The Endless Abyss: A Busty Cop’s Corrupted Soul 2026 · $266k Heroines Through My Lens 2025 · $101k Escape from the Room of the Serving Doll 2024 · $95k Lustful Dead 🔞 2025 · $80k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Peeping Dorm Manager older $10.99 6,206 92% 186k $2.0M (exactly $2,046,118) HornyDoge
The Endless Abyss: A Busty Cop’s Corrupted Soul $12.99 683 71% 20k $266k (exactly $266,165) GiraffeLiam
Heroines Through My Lens $19.99 168 87% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Storytaco
Escape from the Room of the Serving Doll older $6.99 451 84% 14k $95k (exactly $94,575) 桃山プロダクション
Lustful Dead 🔞 $9.99 267 49% 8.0k $80k (exactly $80,020) BanzaiProject
The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time $17.99 146 86% 4.4k $79k (exactly $78,796) Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobe… (Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobee, Kyle Chuang)
狂想！夏日盛宴 $6.99 372 95% 11k $78k (exactly $78,008) Tenth Art Studio
Maid Sisters' Service $9.99 180 75% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,946) 18cmSam, 貳參
BeYourCat older $6.99 236 81% 7.1k $49k (exactly $49,489) HKBOI
Yokai: Lust Secret 🪭 $14.99 89 83% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Lewd Star
My Royal Maid R $3.99 100 80% 3.0k $12k (exactly $11,970) WAWA
Captain Gazman Day Of The Rage $6.99 31 96% 930 $6.5k (exactly $6,501) Les Kalifas, Kazarma, VEB Videospielewe… (Les Kalifas, Kazarma, VEB Videospielewerk 'Bewegungsdruiden')
Mythic Mire $9.99 14 78% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) resnijars

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.