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Should I ship a Choices Matter FMV?
Choices Matter + FMV
Of 108 developers who shipped a Choices Matter FMV in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 91 more are announced.
Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $58k, ×122 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $16k. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 91 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.5 per shipper.
| Bottom 30% | $16k (exactly $16,484) |
|---|---|
| Median | $58k (exactly $58,011) |
| Top 25% | $143k (exactly $143,410) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,201,149) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 108 |
| Released games | 260 |
| Announced | 91 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- FMV
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter, FMV; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, RPG, Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, First-Person, Cinematic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 45,507 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $17k. 3 in 10 of the 67 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 91 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
- + VampiresPoor odds
Comparable games
Quantum Break 2016 · $28M 
Love Is All Around 2023 · $11M 
Not For Broadcast 2022 · $7.7M 
428: Shibuya Scramble 2018 · $5.6M 
Road to Empress Ⅱ 2026 · $4.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Quantum Break | older | $39.99 | 23,141 86% | 694k | $28M (exactly $27,762,258) | Remedy Entertainment |
| | Love Is All Around | older | $9.99 | 36,203 93% | 1.1M | $11M (exactly $10,850,039) | intiny |
| | Not For Broadcast | older | $24.99 | 10,337 94% | 310k | $7.7M (exactly $7,749,649) | NotGames |
| | 428: Shibuya Scramble | older | $49.99 | 3,767 94% | 113k | $5.6M (exactly $5,649,370) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd., Abstraction G… (Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd., Abstraction Games) |
| | Road to Empress Ⅱ | $18.00 | 7,773 80% | 233k | $4.2M (exactly $4,197,420) | New One Studio | |
 | Five Hearts Under One Roof | $19.99 | 5,881 91% | 176k | $3.5M (exactly $3,526,836) | Storytaco | |
 | Late Shift | older | $14.99 | 7,762 86% | 233k | $3.5M (exactly $3,490,571) | CtrlMovie |
 | Road to Empress I | $8.49 | 11,829 86% | 355k | $3.0M (exactly $3,012,846) | New One Studio | |
 | Obduction | older | $29.99 | 3,032 78% | 91k | $2.7M (exactly $2,727,890) | Cyan, Inc. |
 | Mandate Of Heaven | $14.99 | 5,446 91% | 163k | $2.4M (exactly $2,449,066) | 木焱工作室 | |
 | The Three Kingdoms: Rebirth | $19.99 | 2,564 91% | 77k | $1.5M (exactly $1,537,631) | 玛奇阿朵互娱科技, 山与海工作室 | |
 | Five Hearts Under One Roof season2 | $22.99 | 2,149 96% | 64k | $1.5M (exactly $1,482,165) | Storytaco | |
 | Hello Love: 18 Again | $19.99 | 2,075 92% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,244,378) | 念念而忘(Echofall Studio) | |
 | Shao Song I | $14.99 | 2,671 81% | 80k | $1.2M (exactly $1,201,149) | 互动之星, 猫眼娱乐 | |
 | 美女，请别影响我成仙 | $10.99 | 3,140 93% | 94k | $1.0M (exactly $1,035,258) | 蒸汽满满工作室 | |
 | 咸鱼殿下 / My journey | $11.99 | 1,979 85% | 59k | $712k (exactly $711,846) | 大聪明工作室 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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