Do I ship it?

GamesFMVFMV + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Quick-Time Events FMV?

FMV + Quick-Time Events

Only 13 developers shipped a Quick-Time Events FMV in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hello Love: 18 Again, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $43k, ×90 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×2620 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 7 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 90.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 7 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FMV + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $352k → $62k → $43k → $15k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FMV + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $43k (exactly $42,733)
Top 25% $62k (exactly $61,817)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,244,378)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 30
Announced 7
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

FMV
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
FMV, Quick-Time Events
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 4,430 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $43k, 1 in 4 over $61k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 2 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FMV with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Post-apocalypticStrong odds8 devs · median $74k · 5 announced
  3. + StrategyStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  5. + Immersive SimStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  6. + Choices MatterStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  7. + Dating SimStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  8. + RomanceStrong odds101 devs · median $56k · 63 announced
  9. + SimulationStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  10. + JRPGStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  11. + Visual NovelStrong odds166 devs · median $54k · 146 announced
  12. + RPGStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced

All 63 pairs on the FMV page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hello Love: 18 Again $19.99 2,075 92% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,244,378) 念念而忘(Echofall Studio)
恋爱单选题 older $10.99 2,424 81% 73k $799k (exactly $799,193) 无忧传媒
The Bunker older $14.99 1,644 69% 49k $739k (exactly $739,307) Splendy Interactive, Wales Interactive
Superscout older $17.99 652 75% 20k $352k (exactly $351,884) Mountain and Sea Studio
Press X to Not Die older $2.99 3,668 90% 110k $329k (exactly $329,020) All Seeing Eye Games
反转21克 older $8.99 1,020 72% 31k $275k (exactly $275,094) 想象颗粒
THE VIG $17.99 488 90% 15k $263k (exactly $263,374) 亦盈文化, 山与海工作室, 北京超带感
Dragon's Lair older $9.99 673 77% 20k $202k (exactly $201,698) Digital Leisure Inc.
BAZOOKA: Rhythm Game $7.99 664 98% 20k $159k (exactly $159,161) Gregory Seguru, Codrin Bradea
LocoCycle older $9.99 312 83% 9.4k $94k (exactly $93,506) Twisted Pixel Games
Sorry! I surrounded beauty! $5.99 344 82% 10k $62k (exactly $61,817) Really Games
我的同事不对劲 $8.99 215 89% 6.5k $58k (exactly $57,986) 11J Studio
Couple-Cultivation Saves the World $7.99 196 59% 5.9k $47k (exactly $46,981) Guns&Roses Studio
蜀汉再临:源起 Restart ShuHan Dynasty:Origin $3.99 357 76% 11k $43k (exactly $42,733) 浙江海蕊盈信网络科技有限公司
Beta Kafe : Write Your Love Story $6.99 71 81% 2.1k $15k (exactly $14,889) Cine-mo
恶魔的房间 The Demon's Room $7.99 19 63% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Shanghai Yunyong Culture Media Co., Ltd
Type To Kill: Full-Motion Vengeance $12.99 1 100% 30 $390 (exactly $390) cptnoremac

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.