Do I ship it?

Games › FMV › FMV + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature FMV?

FMV + Nature

Only 5 developers shipped a Nature FMV in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Horny: Zero Moan 🔞🦕, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $45k against a market of $480. 3 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 93.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 3 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FMV + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for FMV + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $45k (exactly $44,520)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $44,970)
Top 5% $54k (exactly $54,414)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 28
Announced 3
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

FMV
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
FMV
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $1.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,480 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $45k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $54k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 3 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FMV with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Post-apocalypticStrong odds8 devs · median $74k · 5 announced
  3. + StrategyStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  5. + Immersive SimStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  6. + Choices MatterStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  7. + Dating SimStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  8. + RomanceStrong odds101 devs · median $56k · 63 announced
  9. + SimulationStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  10. + JRPGStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  11. + Visual NovelStrong odds166 devs · median $54k · 146 announced
  12. + RPGStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced

All 63 pairs on the FMV page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sisters: Last Day of Summer 2024 · $306k Horny: Zero Moan 🔞🦕 2026 · $54k SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 2026 · $45k Throbbin Hood 🏹🔞 2026 · $45k Cow Girls 2021 · $8.8k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sisters: Last Day of Summer older $24.99 408 84% 12k $306k (exactly $305,878) Jellyfish
Horny: Zero Moan 🔞🦕 $14.99 121 69% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) Lewd Star
SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 $14.99 100 84% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,970) Juicy Peach Games 🍑
Throbbin Hood 🏹🔞 $14.99 99 80% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,520) BanzaiProject
Cow Girls older $0.99 297 81% 8.9k $8.8k (exactly $8,821) Hunny Bunny Studio
UnearthU older $10.99 24 95% 720 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Kara Stone, Parul Wadhwa, Andy DiLallo,… (Kara Stone, Parul Wadhwa, Andy DiLallo, Chris Kerich)
Neko Beach older $0.99 265 78% 8.0k $7.9k (exactly $7,870) Yummy Yummy Studio
Anime Zodiac older $0.99 132 78% 4.0k $3.9k (exactly $3,920) Hunny Bunny Studio
Zombie Dinos from Planet Zeltoid older $6.99 18 94% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) Philips P.O.V. Entertainment Group
Willage older $6.99 16 93% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) Handle Chaos
Temptation at Sunset Cove $11.99 2 0% 60 $719 (exactly $719) High Altitude Gaming
Floating with Spirits $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Cassette For Timescapes, Tarantula, Stu… (Cassette For Timescapes, Tarantula, Studio Biarritz)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.