Should I ship a Logic FMV?
FMV + Logic
Only 11 developers shipped a Logic FMV in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×15 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×778 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) |
| Top 25% | $45k (exactly $44,666) |
| Top 5% | $370k (exactly $369,716) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 56 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- FMV, Logic; all of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Immersive Sim, Interactive Fiction
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Cinematic, Emotional
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,406 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 2 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
FMV with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SurvivalStrong odds
- + Post-apocalypticStrong odds
- + StrategyStrong odds
- + Multiple EndingsStrong odds
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + Choices MatterStrong odds
- + Dating SimStrong odds
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + SimulationStrong odds
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + Visual NovelStrong odds
- + RPGStrong odds
Comparable games
Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise 2025 · $506k 
Game Of Fate 3：Clash Of Crowns 2025 · $370k 
Game of Fate: Chasing Through Time 2024 · $325k 
Misty Judgment 2025 · $316k 
The Solitaire Conspiracy 2020 · $267k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise | $15.99 | 1,054 78% | 32k | $506k (exactly $505,604) | KARMAGAME HK LIMITED | |
| | Game Of Fate 3：Clash Of Crowns | $16.79 | 734 85% | 22k | $370k (exactly $369,716) | KARMAGAME HK LIMITED | |
| | Game of Fate: Chasing Through Time | $10.99 | 986 88% | 30k | $325k (exactly $325,084) | KARMAGAME HK LIMITED | |
| | Misty Judgment | $8.99 | 1,170 92% | 35k | $316k (exactly $315,549) | 次元边界 | |
| | The Solitaire Conspiracy | older | $11.99 | 742 89% | 22k | $267k (exactly $266,897) | Bithell Games |
 | The Light Remake | older | $4.99 | 1,462 87% | 44k | $219k (exactly $218,861) | Носков Сергей |
 | Escape from the Room of the Serving Doll | older | $6.99 | 451 84% | 14k | $95k (exactly $94,575) | 桃山プロダクション |
 | The Last Dream: Developer's Edition | older | $9.99 | 266 78% | 8.0k | $80k (exactly $79,720) | Specialbit Studio |
 | 看不见的我们 | $6.99 | 213 92% | 6.4k | $45k (exactly $44,666) | MYSTERY CROWN, 火蜥蜴文化 | |
 | The Shadow Government Simulator | older | $9.99 | 100 75% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $29,970) | Chupacabra Game Studios |
 | The Case of the Golden Night Apartment | $9.99 | 89 44% | 2.7k | $27k (exactly $26,673) | Buddy Studio | |
 | 法医探案团之碎嘴小诗 | $3.99 | 135 77% | 4.1k | $16k (exactly $16,160) | 芒果互娱 | |
 | Scientific project: Optic | $19.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | KHVOYA Games | |
 | Case Files: Internal Affairs | $10.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $2.6k (exactly $2,638) | Think Ten Media Group | |
 | 2Synth | $10.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) | Joel Gervasi |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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