Do I ship it?

GamesFMVFMV + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object FMV?

FMV + Hidden Object

Only 12 developers shipped a Hidden Object FMV in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×6.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $78k, ×166 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 17 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 17 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FMV + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $9.9k → $5.7k → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FMV + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 25% $9.5k (exactly $9,524)
Top 5% $79k (exactly $78,796)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 59
Announced 17
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

FMV
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
FMV, Hidden Object
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 379 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 17 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FMV with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Post-apocalypticStrong odds8 devs · median $74k · 5 announced
  3. + StrategyStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  5. + Immersive SimStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  6. + Choices MatterStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  7. + Dating SimStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  8. + RomanceStrong odds101 devs · median $56k · 63 announced
  9. + SimulationStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  10. + JRPGStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  11. + Visual NovelStrong odds166 devs · median $54k · 146 announced
  12. + RPGStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced

All 63 pairs on the FMV page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
IMMORTALITY older $19.99 1,768 84% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,060,270) Sam Barlow, Half Mermaid
The Bunker older $14.99 1,644 69% 49k $739k (exactly $739,307) Splendy Interactive, Wales Interactive
Toonstruck older $19.99 272 97% 8.2k $163k (exactly $163,118) Burst
Attentat 1942 older $10.99 448 92% 13k $148k (exactly $147,706) Charles Games
Mystery Case Files®: 13th Skull™ Collector's Edition older $19.99 168 85% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Big Fish Games
Escape from the Room of the Serving Doll older $6.99 451 84% 14k $95k (exactly $94,575) 桃山プロダクション
The Last Dream: Developer's Edition older $9.99 266 78% 8.0k $80k (exactly $79,720) Specialbit Studio
The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time $17.99 146 86% 4.4k $79k (exactly $78,796) Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobe… (Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobee, Kyle Chuang)
Curse of Black Bone older $14.99 123 61% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Questerium: Sinister Trinity HD Collector's Edition older $6.99 208 80% 6.2k $44k (exactly $43,618) URSE Games
Ladies, Don’t Tempt My Immortality $10.99 57 89% 1.7k $19k (exactly $18,793) 蒸汽满满工作室
I Know This Place..? (chapter II) $5.99 53 94% 1.6k $9.5k (exactly $9,524) SameFrame
ニコニコさん | Niconico-san $2.99 63 96% 1.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,651) TI-BA
Your Succubus $6.99 20 80% 600 $4.2k (exactly $4,194) Easyfun Studio
Dinosaur Adventure 3-D (1999 Version) $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Knowledge Adventure, Wanderful Edutainm… (Knowledge Adventure, Wanderful Edutainment, Jordan Freeman Group)
Ladies I'm Ready $4.99 22 68% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Midou Studio
Mina · EA $5.95 3 0% 90 $536 (exactly $536) Anopia Games
Radley Ravencroft's Spy Web Mystery · EA $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) sliphtrex
Rescue the Hostages: Words of Fear $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) rescuethehostages.com

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.