Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Fishing game?

PvP + Fishing

Only 6 developers shipped a PvP Fishing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $51k against a market of $1.5k. 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 33.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 28 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for PvP + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $9.6k (exactly $9,590)
Median $51k (exactly $50,816)
Top 25% $91k (exactly $91,289)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 31
Announced 28
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 39%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Fishing
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 59% positive over 19,368 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $9.6k, median $51k, 1 in 4 over $91k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $9.6k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
CryoFall older $19.99 4,905 78% 147k $2.9M (exactly $2,941,528) AtomicTorch Studio
Shoppe Keep 2 older $9.99 1,527 57% 46k $458k (exactly $457,642) Strange Fire
Bassmaster® Fishing older $19.99 310 73% 9.3k $186k (exactly $185,907) Dovetail Games
我的钓鱼世界 · EA $14.99 203 60% 6.1k $91k (exactly $91,289) 华幸
Fishing Sim World: Bass Pro Shops Edition older $39.99 48 79% 1.4k $58k (exactly $57,586) Dovetail Games
Nanomon Virtual Pet $14.99 113 88% 3.4k $51k (exactly $50,816) Oscar Brittain
Survival Nation: Lost Horizon · EA older $14.99 113 55% 3.4k $51k (exactly $50,816) Wenkly Studio Sp. z o.o.
All-In-One Summer Sports VR · EA older $19.99 45 84% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Appnori Inc.
The Isle of Cats $14.99 31 83% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Dire Wolf
Upgradia · EA $9.99 32 65% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Mytharia
Reel it! World Fishing $12.79 3 66% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,151) SAT-BOX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.