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Should I ship a Physics Fishing game?
Physics + Fishing
Of 23 developers who shipped a Physics Fishing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×268 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 42 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.1k (exactly $2,063) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) |
| Top 25% | $36k (exactly $35,715) |
| Top 5% | $168k (exactly $168,431) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Fishing; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 59,867 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
How to Fish 2026 · $14M 
I Am Fish 2021 · $1.7M 
Shoppe Keep 2 2019 · $458k 
FISHERY 2019 · EA · $225k 
Survival Nation 2023 · $211k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | How to Fish | $7.99 | 57,661 95% | 1.7M | $14M (exactly $13,821,342) | Dazed Games | |
| | I Am Fish | older | $19.99 | 2,917 75% | 88k | $1.7M (exactly $1,749,325) | Bossa Studios |
| | Shoppe Keep 2 | older | $9.99 | 1,527 57% | 46k | $458k (exactly $457,642) | Strange Fire |
| | FISHERY | · EA older | $19.99 | 375 83% | 11k | $225k (exactly $224,887) | Lilou Studio |
| | Survival Nation | older | $29.99 | 235 70% | 7.1k | $211k (exactly $211,430) | Wenkly Studio Sp. z o.o. |
 | Fish Hunters: Most Lethal Fishing Simulator 🐟 | $9.99 | 562 58% | 17k | $168k (exactly $168,431) | Pmdk23 | |
 | Lake of Creatures | $12.49 | 354 92% | 11k | $133k (exactly $132,644) | ANTENNA GAMES | |
 | Sip Fisher | $4.99 | 637 92% | 19k | $95k (exactly $95,359) | Syphon Software | |
 | Water You Doing? | $7.99 | 294 59% | 8.8k | $70k (exactly $70,472) | DiSolve Studios | |
 | The One Fish | · EA | $7.99 | 149 71% | 4.5k | $36k (exactly $35,715) | re:try |
 | Umami Grove | $19.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $25k (exactly $25,187) | Pomshine Games | |
 | Desktop Fishes | $5.99 | 128 82% | 3.8k | $23k (exactly $23,002) | Daniel Santalla | |
 | Fathom's End | · EA | $19.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $12k (exactly $11,994) | Lonely Anchor |
 | Fishing Party VR | $17.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $11k (exactly $10,794) | Hurka Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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