Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim Walking Simulator?

Farming Sim + Walking Simulator

Only 11 developers shipped a Farming Sim Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lawn Care Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $40k, ×85 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 26 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $748 → $386 → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $386 (exactly $386)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,788)
Top 5% $40k (exactly $40,180)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 27
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Walking Simulator
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 274 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $600, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $40k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of the Wild: The Angler™ older $29.99 6,122 63% 184k $5.5M (exactly $5,507,963) Expansive Worlds
Adios older $17.99 1,047 94% 31k $565k (exactly $565,066) Mischief
Santhai older $12.99 137 89% 4.1k $53k (exactly $53,389) Hardworker Studio, Rachan Neamprasert
Lawn Care Simulator $19.99 67 91% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) Zac Marvin, Edward DePew
Pocket Oasis older $11.99 33 72% 990 $12k (exactly $11,870) knit'n'purl game studio LLC
DACHA $4.99 73 76% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,928) VD Games, PropilGames
Record Shop Simulator $8.99 40 70% 1.2k $11k (exactly $10,788) Octane Owl
Wildstrive · EA older $7.99 34 44% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) MonsterGaze
World of Retailing · EA older $19.99 6 33% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) MazeDEV, Evoke-Gaming
Pastor's Lake: The Game · EA older $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) KVS Software
Cat Simulator: Meow $0.99 65 60% 2.0k $1.9k (exactly $1,930) Cat Studio
A Game About Mowing Your Lawn $4.99 5 40% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Micester
The Hallowed Garden $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) RadGard Studios
Duty Free Shop Simulator · EA $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) CLOWN MAGIC
Desktop Forest $0.99 13 100% 390 $386 (exactly $386) Colorfiction
PickingSimulator $10.99 1 0% 30 $330 (exactly $330) turusaki
Crop Survivor $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) ParryMeDev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.