Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Trading

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Trading

Of 41 developers who shipped a Trading Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×6.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×398 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 71 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 71 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Trading
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.7k → $160k → $69k → $20k → $7.5k → $1.6k (still earning) → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Trading: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $29,262)
Top 5% $189k (exactly $188,874)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 89
Announced 71
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Trading; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Economy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,779 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator older $19.99 37,870 92% 1.1M $23M (exactly $22,710,639) niceplay games
Definitely Not Fried Chicken older $24.99 2,161 72% 65k $1.6M (exactly $1,620,102) Dope Games
Russian Village Simulator older $29.99 889 84% 27k $800k (exactly $799,833) VD Games, PropilGames
Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator older $24.99 1,033 77% 31k $774k (exactly $774,440) Broken Arms Games
Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping $7.49 3,386 95% 102k $761k (exactly $760,834) Lunheim Studios
Winkeltje: The Little Shop older $14.99 1,612 88% 48k $725k (exactly $724,916) Sassybot
Industry Giant 4.0 $24.99 506 33% 15k $379k (exactly $379,348) Don VS Dodo
Center Station Simulator · EA older $19.99 554 87% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Nightmare Phoenix
Crypto Mining Simulator older $4.99 1,419 65% 43k $212k (exactly $212,424) Satosha Nakamoti
Weed Supermarket Simulator $14.99 420 87% 13k $189k (exactly $188,874) DreamWay Games
Cozy Keep: Farm, Craft, Manage · EA $14.99 315 93% 9.5k $142k (exactly $141,656) Unbossed Games
Plant Nursery Simulator $12.99 330 93% 9.9k $129k (exactly $128,601) Robot Assembly
Medieval Horse Dealer Simulator $17.99 193 89% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) One Slice of Pizza Games
Trailer Park Tycoon: Raccoon Ranch $11.70 142 92% 4.3k $50k (exactly $49,842) Yuliy Oneshko, S-Grade
Village Tale $5.99 268 81% 8.0k $48k (exactly $48,160) Knight Owl Games
Tiny Garden $12.99 108 85% 3.2k $42k (exactly $42,088) Ao Norte
Alchemist Shop Simulator $11.99 111 75% 3.3k $40k (exactly $39,927) Kool2Play

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.