Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tower Defense Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Tower Defense

Only 17 developers shipped a Tower Defense Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gnomes, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $520k, ×1109 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 35 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 35 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $897 → $8.6k → $358
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $897 (exactly $897)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,588)
Top 5% $527k (exactly $526,573)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 35
Announced 35
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Tower Defense; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Base Building, Automation
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,391 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $520k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gnomes $9.99 1,757 94% 53k $527k (exactly $526,573) DYSTOPIAN
Ark of Charon $24.99 389 75% 12k $292k (exactly $291,633) Angoo Inc., SUNSOFT
Farm for your Life older $9.99 499 81% 15k $150k (exactly $149,550) Hammer Labs
Gnomes Garden older $14.99 262 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $117,821) Workroom7, Creobit
Voltaire: The Vegan Vampire older $19.99 113 76% 3.4k $68k (exactly $67,766) Digitality Games
World Crafter TD $14.99 70 48% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) Tbjbu2
Faun Town $10.99 70 68% 2.1k $23k (exactly $23,079) 游乐坊
Guardener older $4.99 145 83% 4.4k $22k (exactly $21,706) Sokpop Collective
Flow Of War $12.99 40 85% 1.2k $16k (exactly $15,588) Rongcon Games
Garden Of Mooj older $14.99 23 69% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Kcfos
Honeymancer · EA $12.99 22 95% 660 $8.6k (exactly $8,573) Lukas Lundin
No Ticket Back: Craft, Survive & Escape $9.99 16 87% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) GameEraStudios
Welcome to Elite Cafe $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) さめGames
NecroFarm $2.99 10 60% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Podigi Games
Monster Manor $3.99 6 50% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Soda Duck

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.