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Should I ship a Shop Keeper Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Shop Keeper
Of 51 developers who shipped a Shop Keeper Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.6k, ×16 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×611 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 108 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.6k (exactly $7,635) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $30,476) |
| Top 5% | $290k (exactly $290,056) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 51 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 108 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 320% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Shop Keeper
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim, Shop Keeper; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Economy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 7,072 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 5 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Teddy's Haven | · EA | $14.99 | 2,800 95% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,259,160) | Teddy Bear Games LLC |
| | Winkeltje: The Little Shop | older | $14.99 | 1,612 88% | 48k | $725k (exactly $724,916) | Sassybot |
| | Boba Cafe Simulator | $15.99 | 1,192 92% | 36k | $572k (exactly $571,802) | Caikemi | |
| | Happy Sheepies | older | $19.99 | 561 85% | 17k | $336k (exactly $336,432) | Berker Games |
| | Farm to Table | · EA | $14.99 | 645 91% | 19k | $290k (exactly $290,056) | indieGiant |
| | Weed Supermarket Simulator | $14.99 | 420 87% | 13k | $189k (exactly $188,874) | DreamWay Games | |
| | Sugardew Island - Your cozy farm shop | $16.99 | 291 76% | 8.7k | $148k (exactly $148,323) | rokaplay | |
| | Not Monday Cafe | $8.99 | 539 94% | 16k | $145k (exactly $145,368) | Sunny Syrup Studio | |
| | Cozy Keep: Farm, Craft, Manage | · EA | $14.99 | 315 93% | 9.5k | $142k (exactly $141,656) | Unbossed Games |
| | Ranch Farm and Store Simulator | $12.99 | 252 84% | 7.6k | $98k (exactly $98,204) | Bewolba Studios | |
| | Dungeon Bodega Simulator | $9.99 | 320 98% | 9.6k | $96k (exactly $95,904) | Alien Fruit | |
| | Hydroponics Farm & Store Simulator | $9.99 | 298 80% | 8.9k | $89k (exactly $89,311) | Bewolba Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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