Do I ship it?

Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Sci-fi

Of 20 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×5.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×7.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×682 the market median. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 47 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 47 announced, ×5.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $407k → $1.2k → $4.8k → $3.9k → $3.4k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $3.4k (exactly $3,409)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,285)
Top 5% $324k (exactly $323,838)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 42
Announced 47
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Building, Crafting
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 65% positive over 995 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $3.4k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lightyear Frontier 2024 · EA · $3.2M Little-Known Galaxy 2024 · $407k One Lonely Outpost 2025 · $324k Dismantling Workshop of Bio-Girl 2025 · $108k Before The Green Moon 2023 · $50k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lightyear Frontier · EA older $24.99 4,257 83% 128k $3.2M (exactly $3,191,473) FRAME BREAK
Little-Known Galaxy older $19.99 679 88% 20k $407k (exactly $407,196) Carbon & Kay
One Lonely Outpost $19.99 540 58% 16k $324k (exactly $323,838) indie.io
Dismantling Workshop of Bio-Girl $29.99 120 61% 3.6k $108k (exactly $107,964) 渡里laboratory
Before The Green Moon older $11.99 138 94% 4.1k $50k (exactly $49,639) Turnfollow
Surviving Ceres $9.99 115 86% 3.5k $34k (exactly $34,466) Ryan Saunders
Roboplant older $11.99 75 61% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) Rebelpug
Mars Base older $19.99 37 51% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) Khuong Le
Cyber Farmer $9.99 55 45% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) FreeMind S.A.
XenoHaven · EA $9.99 51 80% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) Miniverse Game
No Ticket Back: Craft, Survive & Escape $9.99 16 87% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) GameEraStudios
Rogue AI: Idle Domination $5.99 26 96% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Nerdook Productions
Plantasia $4.99 26 84% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Cave Bear Games
Constructed · EA $14.99 8 75% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Gaming Project
Shelter X $2.99 38 73% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Inspite, W-I-W

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.