Do I ship it?

Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Romance

Of 32 developers who shipped a Romance Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $24k, ×50 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.3M, ×11166 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 71 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 50.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 71 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $36k → $555k → $54k → $12k → $44k → $223k → $19k (still earning) → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,400)
Median $24k (exactly $23,740)
Top 25% $191k (exactly $190,849)
Top 5% $5.3M (exactly $5,303,716)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 79
Announced 71
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Life Sim, RPG, Crafting
Price point
$12.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cute, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 44,864 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $24k, 1 in 4 over $190k, 1 in 20 over $5.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 4 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Fields of Mistria 2026 · $13M STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town 2020 · $6.3M Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma 2025 · $5.3M STORY OF SEASONS: Grand Bazaar 2025 · $4.7M Cloud Meadow 2020 · EA · $3.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town older $39.99 5,268 93% 158k $6.3M (exactly $6,320,020) Marvelous Inc.
Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma $59.99 2,947 88% 88k $5.3M (exactly $5,303,716) Marvelous Inc.
STORY OF SEASONS: Grand Bazaar $49.99 3,140 93% 94k $4.7M (exactly $4,709,058) Marvelous Inc.
Cloud Meadow · EA older $19.99 5,134 85% 154k $3.1M (exactly $3,078,860) Team Nimbus
Roots of Pacha older $24.99 3,779 93% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) Soda Den
Littlewood older $14.99 6,083 93% 182k $2.7M (exactly $2,735,525) Sean Young
Fae Farm older $29.99 2,741 78% 82k $2.5M (exactly $2,466,078) Phoenix Labs
Rune Factory 5 older $39.99 1,940 76% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,327,418) Marvelous Inc.
Moonlight Peaks $34.99 1,793 88% 54k $1.9M (exactly $1,882,112) Little Chicken
Tales of Seikyu $24.99 2,179 83% 65k $1.6M (exactly $1,633,596) ACE Entertainment
To Pixelia $14.99 1,194 73% 36k $537k (exactly $536,942) Pixeduo Studios
Ova Magica $29.99 581 91% 17k $523k (exactly $522,726) ClaudiaTheDev, Skinny Frog
Fox Sex Farm $17.99 413 82% 12k $223k (exactly $222,896) R's
Cattle Country $18.99 335 86% 10k $191k (exactly $190,849) Castle Pixel, LLC.
Orange Season $14.99 364 59% 11k $164k (exactly $163,691) Innerfire Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.