Do I ship it?

Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelite Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Roguelite

Of 40 developers who shipped a Roguelite Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×10 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×762 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 65 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 65 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $4.3k → $26k → $2.9k → $28k → $3.3k → $4.7k (still earning) → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $839 (exactly $839)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $28,186)
Top 5% $362k (exactly $362,008)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 74
Announced 65
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Roguelite; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Base Building
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 4,495 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 7 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

DAVE THE DIVER 2023 · $86M Atomicrops 2020 · $2.3M The Lost Village 2024 · $987k Cat God Ranch 2024 · $549k Gnomes 2025 · $527k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DAVE THE DIVER older $19.99 142,662 96% 4.3M $86M (exactly $85,554,401) MINTROCKET
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
The Lost Village older $11.99 2,743 70% 82k $987k (exactly $986,657) FunYoo Games
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Gnomes $9.99 1,757 94% 53k $527k (exactly $526,573) DYSTOPIAN
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Fox Sex Farm $17.99 413 82% 12k $223k (exactly $222,896) R's
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Pesticide Not Required older $6.50 816 93% 24k $159k (exactly $159,120) Jampacked Games
Another Farm Roguelike: Rebirth $6.99 433 69% 13k $91k (exactly $90,800) Zabbo Games
Museum No.9 $9.99 208 75% 6.2k $62k (exactly $62,338) YaoYi Technology
Call of Boba · EA $12.99 125 67% 3.8k $49k (exactly $48,712) Tomatoast, Tomatoast
Nimbit Frontier · EA $13.99 113 97% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Megasploot
极乐不羡仙 $5.99 164 65% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) 仙常居ソフト
Grimoire Groves $19.99 47 82% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) Stardust

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.