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Should I ship a Roguelike Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Roguelike
Of 28 developers who shipped a Roguelike Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×10 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1576 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 46 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $719 (exactly $719) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) |
| Top 25% | $29k (exactly $29,471) |
| Top 5% | $749k (exactly $748,760) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 46 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Roguelike
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim, Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Base Building, Strategy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $21.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $21.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 12,611 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 5 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Wandering Village | $29.99 | 7,734 91% | 232k | $7.0M (exactly $6,958,280) | Stray Fawn Studio | |
| | Atomicrops | older | $14.99 | 5,134 93% | 154k | $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) | Bird Bath Games |
| | The Lost Village | older | $11.99 | 2,743 70% | 82k | $987k (exactly $986,657) | FunYoo Games |
| | Card Survival: Fantasy Forest | · EA | $21.99 | 1,135 76% | 34k | $749k (exactly $748,760) | WinterSpring Games |
| | Cat God Ranch | older | $9.99 | 1,831 92% | 55k | $549k (exactly $548,751) | CrazyPotato Studio |
| | Gnomes | $9.99 | 1,757 94% | 53k | $527k (exactly $526,573) | DYSTOPIAN | |
| | Dinotica | $17.99 | 746 86% | 22k | $403k (exactly $402,616) | XA Studio | |
| | Cropdeck | $12.99 | 430 92% | 13k | $168k (exactly $167,571) | Piotrek | |
| | Another Farm Roguelike: Rebirth | $6.99 | 433 69% | 13k | $91k (exactly $90,800) | Zabbo Games | |
| | Garlant: My Story | older | $10.99 | 234 84% | 7.0k | $77k (exactly $77,150) | Flt Studio |
| | 极乐不羡仙 | $5.99 | 164 65% | 4.9k | $29k (exactly $29,471) | 仙常居ソフト | |
| | Grimoire Groves | $19.99 | 47 82% | 1.4k | $28k (exactly $28,186) | Stardust | |
| | Node Farm | $11.99 | 75 81% | 2.3k | $27k (exactly $26,978) | ByerN | |
| | Chosen Garden | $9.99 | 90 93% | 2.7k | $27k (exactly $26,973) | Winter Cabin Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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