Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Roguelike

Of 28 developers who shipped a Roguelike Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×10 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1576 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 46 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 46 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.2k → $3.6k → $77k → $28k → $599 → $10k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $29,471)
Top 5% $749k (exactly $748,760)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 51
Announced 46
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Base Building, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $21.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $21.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 12,611 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 5 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Wandering Village $29.99 7,734 91% 232k $7.0M (exactly $6,958,280) Stray Fawn Studio
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
The Lost Village older $11.99 2,743 70% 82k $987k (exactly $986,657) FunYoo Games
Card Survival: Fantasy Forest · EA $21.99 1,135 76% 34k $749k (exactly $748,760) WinterSpring Games
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Gnomes $9.99 1,757 94% 53k $527k (exactly $526,573) DYSTOPIAN
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Another Farm Roguelike: Rebirth $6.99 433 69% 13k $91k (exactly $90,800) Zabbo Games
Garlant: My Story older $10.99 234 84% 7.0k $77k (exactly $77,150) Flt Studio
极乐不羡仙 $5.99 164 65% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) 仙常居ソフト
Grimoire Groves $19.99 47 82% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) Stardust
Node Farm $11.99 75 81% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) ByerN
Chosen Garden $9.99 90 93% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Winter Cabin Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.