Do I ship it?

Games › PvP › PvP + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Farming Sim?

PvP + Farming Sim

Only 8 developers shipped a paid PvP Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 我的钓鱼世界, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×7.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $91k, ×61 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 16 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $2.2k → $20k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,155)
Median $11k (exactly $11,389)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $24,588)
Top 5% $91k (exactly $91,289)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 25
Announced 16
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 44%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Farming Sim
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 57% positive over 3,449 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.2k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $91k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Tower! Simulator 3 2022 · $1.9M Sword and Fairy Inn 2 2022 · $1.2M 我的钓鱼世界 2026 · EA · $91k Rival Stars Horse Racing: VR Edition 2025 · $25k Bounty Pro Pulling 2026 · EA · $20k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tower! Simulator 3 older $59.99 1,047 67% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,286) FeelThere
Sword and Fairy Inn 2 older $19.99 2,013 49% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,207,196) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
我的钓鱼世界 · EA $14.99 203 60% 6.1k $91k (exactly $91,289) 华幸
Rival Stars Horse Racing: VR Edition $19.99 41 85% 1.2k $25k (exactly $24,588) PikPok
Bounty Pro Pulling · EA $24.99 27 96% 810 $20k (exactly $20,242) KODGAMES, LLC
Farm Your Friends $9.99 38 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Meganeura Games
Wildstrive · EA older $7.99 34 44% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) MonsterGaze
Tutien Path $14.99 16 81% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Truong Thanh Triet
Furious Farm: Total Reap-Out older $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
公考刷题模拟器-我要上岸 $3.99 18 61% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) DoubleGame
CropChampion $9.99 5 60% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) CropChampion
Grim Pastures: Outlaws $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) 7hgamestudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.