Do I ship it?

Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Puzzle

Only 19 developers shipped a Puzzle Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Little Witch in the Woods, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.2k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $7.0M, ×14760 the market median. Revenue is up 255% on the market; 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 255% on the market, 49 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $505 → $210 → $3.0k → $39k → $6.2k → $2.7M → $12k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $6.2k (exactly $6,189)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $45,577)
Top 5% $7.0M (exactly $7,011,093)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 73
Announced 49
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 255% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Puzzle; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Crafting, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 22,043 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $6.2k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $7.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Little Witch in the Woods 2025 · $7.0M The Farmer Was Replaced 2025 · $2.7M Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator 2021 · $774k Aquarist 2024 · $456k Suncraft 2026 · $114k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Little Witch in the Woods $19.99 11,691 89% 351k $7.0M (exactly $7,011,093) SUNNY SIDE UP
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator older $24.99 1,033 77% 31k $774k (exactly $774,440) Broken Arms Games
Aquarist older $15.99 950 81% 29k $456k (exactly $455,715) FreeMind S.A.
Suncraft $6.99 543 92% 16k $114k (exactly $113,867) Spicy Tuna Games
The Last Alchemist older $19.99 151 76% 4.5k $91k (exactly $90,555) Vile Monarch
Shinehill $10.99 265 95% 8.0k $87k (exactly $87,370) Peach Bite
Koi Farm older $2.99 907 94% 27k $81k (exactly $81,358) Job Talle, 3xBlast
ASTROBOTANICA · EA $19.99 76 59% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Space Goblin Studio
Tiny Garden $12.99 108 85% 3.2k $42k (exactly $42,088) Ao Norte
Alchemist: The Potion Monger $13.99 92 80% 2.8k $39k (exactly $38,612) Art Games Studio S.A.
Super Farming Boy · EA $12.99 42 85% 1.3k $16k (exactly $16,367) LemonChili Soft
The Abbess Garden $9.99 41 87% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) MD Studio
Sheep $2.99 69 97% 2.1k $6.2k (exactly $6,189) Minds Eye Productions

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.