Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Post-apocalyptic
Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Post-apocalyptic
Only 17 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Timberborn, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $40M, ×64401 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 32 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $839 (exactly $839) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) |
| Top 25% | $1.9M (exactly $1,898,650) |
| Top 5% | $40M (exactly $40,443,891) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Post-apocalyptic
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Building, Exploration
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 58,536 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 6 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Timberborn | $34.99 | 38,529 95% | 1.2M | $40M (exactly $40,443,891) | Mechanistry | |
| | My Time at Portia | older | $29.99 | 34,844 91% | 1.0M | $31M (exactly $31,349,147) | Pathea Games |
| | My Time at Sandrock | older | $39.99 | 24,110 88% | 723k | $29M (exactly $28,924,767) | Pathea Games |
| | The Wandering Village | $29.99 | 7,734 91% | 232k | $7.0M (exactly $6,958,280) | Stray Fawn Studio | |
| | Flotsam | $24.99 | 4,308 80% | 129k | $3.2M (exactly $3,229,708) | Pajama Llama Games | |
| | Rusty's Retirement | older | $6.99 | 13,902 96% | 417k | $2.9M (exactly $2,915,249) | Mister Morris Games |
| | I Am Future: Cozy Apocalypse Survival | $19.99 | 4,011 83% | 120k | $2.4M (exactly $2,405,397) | Mandragora | |
| | No Place Like Home | older | $19.99 | 3,784 78% | 114k | $2.3M (exactly $2,269,265) | Chicken Launcher |
| | Doloc Town | $19.99 | 3,166 94% | 95k | $1.9M (exactly $1,898,650) | RedSaw Games Studio | |
| | Floodland | older | $19.99 | 921 54% | 28k | $552k (exactly $552,324) | Vile Monarch |
| | World End Diner | $16.99 | 415 93% | 12k | $212k (exactly $211,525) | Andymente | |
| | The Last FARMER | $12.99 | 258 56% | 7.7k | $101k (exactly $100,543) | Geekon | |
| | Robert on Earth | $7.99 | 93 83% | 2.8k | $22k (exactly $22,292) | Remrofsnart | |
| | No Ticket Back: Craft, Survive & Escape | $9.99 | 16 87% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | GameEraStudios | |
| | Can't Stop Rory | $7.99 | 6 50% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Confused Grandma Games, Zero Point One… (Confused Grandma Games, Zero Point One Games) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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