Do I ship it?

Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Point & Click

Of 42 developers who shipped a Point & Click Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $21k, ×44 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 53 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 53 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $5.5k → $5.7k → $1.2k → $1.0k → $718 → $446 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $538 (exactly $538)
Top 25% $4.7k (exactly $4,672)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $21,136)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 105
Announced 53
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Point & Click; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Idler, Agriculture
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,099 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $540, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator 2022 · $23M Adios 2021 · $565k Plantera 2016 · $405k Capybara Spa 2022 · $322k Gnomes Garden 2015 · $118k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator older $19.99 37,870 92% 1.1M $23M (exactly $22,710,639) niceplay games
Adios older $17.99 1,047 94% 31k $565k (exactly $565,066) Mischief
Plantera older $2.99 4,518 88% 136k $405k (exactly $405,265) VaragtP
Capybara Spa older $7.99 1,345 94% 40k $322k (exactly $322,396) Cozy Bee Games
Gnomes Garden older $14.99 262 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $117,821) Workroom7, Creobit
NejicomiSimulator TMA02 older $22.99 114 76% 3.4k $79k (exactly $78,626) やぶから堂, たまぷろじぇくと
Sloppy Fields · EA $9.79 201 95% 6.0k $59k (exactly $59,034) PixelPanzone
Farm Keeper older $4.99 390 91% 12k $58k (exactly $58,383) Cuddle Code
Desk Garden $2.99 476 84% 14k $43k (exactly $42,697) Siesta Studio
Farm Frenzy: Refreshed older $8.99 129 81% 3.9k $35k (exactly $34,791) GameOn Production
Pet Lands $14.99 47 46% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Tbjbu2, Adria Martinez Exposito
Push Push $4.99 111 97% 3.3k $17k (exactly $16,617) 1ceAgain
Life in red line · EA $17.99 26 76% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) Pecha games
Cottonville $10.99 41 70% 1.2k $14k (exactly $13,518) RedDeer.Games
My Tiny Garden $4.99 65 60% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Frozen Logic Studios
Plump! Dumb Frog Pond $7.99 30 96% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) FHNBHJ
Harvest Dice Profit $2.99 66 92% 2.0k $5.9k (exactly $5,920) Red Corn
Tap Derby: Horse Racing $4.99 36 91% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) Frost Warrior Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.