Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Mystery
Should I ship a Mystery Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Mystery
Only 16 developers shipped a Mystery Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Welcome to Elderfield, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×9.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $15k, ×31 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $710k, ×1516 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 56 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $15k (exactly $14,671) |
| Top 25% | $178k (exactly $178,111) |
| Top 5% | $720k (exactly $719,960) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 56 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Mystery
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 4,742 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 5 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
Welcome to Elderfield 2026 · $720k 
Adios 2021 · $565k 
Grunn 2024 · $524k 
欺神弄鬼 2025 · EA · $240k 
Everholm 2024 · $178k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Welcome to Elderfield | $17.99 | 1,334 87% | 40k | $720k (exactly $719,960) | Chris Cote | |
| | Adios | older | $17.99 | 1,047 94% | 31k | $565k (exactly $565,066) | Mischief |
| | Grunn | $12.99 | 1,345 95% | 40k | $524k (exactly $524,146) | Sokpop Collective, Tom van den Boogaart | |
| | 欺神弄鬼 | · EA | $9.99 | 802 91% | 24k | $240k (exactly $240,359) | 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle |
| | Everholm | $19.99 | 297 75% | 8.9k | $178k (exactly $178,111) | Chonky Loaf | |
 | Harvest Island | older | $24.99 | 228 82% | 6.8k | $171k (exactly $170,932) | Yobob |
 | Dread Fields | $6.99 | 527 98% | 16k | $111k (exactly $110,512) | Podoba Interactive | |
 | Secret of the Magic Crystals | older | $4.99 | 640 79% | 19k | $96k (exactly $95,808) | Artery Games |
 | Wild Season | older | $16.99 | 179 24% | 5.4k | $91k (exactly $91,236) | Quickfire Games |
 | The Dream Within | $6.99 | 122 81% | 3.7k | $26k (exactly $25,583) | Roaming of Little Hammer | |
 | Cryptid Farm | $4.99 | 153 96% | 4.6k | $23k (exactly $22,904) | GameByFlamey | |
 | Grove Fisher | $4.99 | 98 67% | 2.9k | $15k (exactly $14,671) | EVIL CORP GAMES | |
 | The Abbess Garden | $9.99 | 41 87% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $12,288) | MD Studio | |
 | Dig For Riches | $7.99 | 23 52% | 690 | $5.5k (exactly $5,513) | OxygenStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.