Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Multiple Endings

Of 29 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×506 the market median. Revenue is up 235% on the market; 46 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 235% on the market, 46 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $719 → $599 → $4.7k (still earning) → $750 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,032)
Top 5% $240k (exactly $240,359)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 47
Announced 46
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Exploration, RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 3,535 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $840, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Witchy Life Story older $19.99 965 80% 29k $579k (exactly $578,710) Sundew Studios
Grunn $12.99 1,345 95% 40k $524k (exactly $524,146) Sokpop Collective, Tom van den Boogaart
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
欺神弄鬼 · EA $9.99 802 91% 24k $240k (exactly $240,359) 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle
Dread Fields $6.99 527 98% 16k $111k (exactly $110,512) Podoba Interactive
Let's Go! My Harem Farm older $14.99 198 79% 5.9k $89k (exactly $89,041) XO_PROJECT
Morningdew Farms: A Gay Farming Game older $19.99 123 83% 3.7k $74k (exactly $73,763) Y Press Games
汉尘:腐草为萤 · EA $7.99 305 71% 9.2k $73k (exactly $73,108) 兰廷科技 Lanting Technology Co., Ltd.
Poem of the Starherd $18.99 94 65% 2.8k $54k (exactly $53,552) commamion
Immortal Farmer: System’s Mandate · EA $4.99 297 68% 8.9k $44k (exactly $44,461) oyogame
Dream Life in the Country Side $14.99 87 83% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) Moonlit Cafe
Life in red line · EA $17.99 26 76% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) Pecha games
Ritualis: Summoner Simulator $5.99 26 88% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Noxtell Games
Rogue AI: Idle Domination $5.99 26 96% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Nerdook Productions

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.