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Should I ship a Logic Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Logic
Only 15 developers shipped a Logic Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Farmer Was Replaced, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $2.7M, ×5752 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $748 (exactly $748) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) |
| Top 25% | $9.3k (exactly $9,348) |
| Top 5% | $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Logic
- effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action-Adventure, Automation
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Minimalist
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 9,596 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $750. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Farmer Was Replaced | $9.99 | 9,116 95% | 273k | $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) | Timon Herzog | |
| | Tower! Simulator 3 | older | $59.99 | 1,047 67% | 31k | $1.9M (exactly $1,884,286) | FeelThere |
| | The Last FARMER | $12.99 | 258 56% | 7.7k | $101k (exactly $100,543) | Geekon | |
| | Tiny Garden | $12.99 | 108 85% | 3.2k | $42k (exactly $42,088) | Ao Norte | |
| | Assembly Planter | older | $4.99 | 243 90% | 7.3k | $36k (exactly $36,377) | Timon Herzog |
| | Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle | older | $1.99 | 463 94% | 14k | $28k (exactly $27,641) | Mens Sana Interactive |
| | Instant Farmer - Logic Puzzle | older | $1.99 | 160 91% | 4.8k | $9.6k (exactly $9,552) | Mens Sana Interactive |
| | Yet Another Incremental Game (but this time about coding) | · EA | $7.99 | 39 71% | 1.2k | $9.3k (exactly $9,348) | Raclette Games |
| | Happy Piggy | $9.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Card Homestead | $6.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | CoffeeNap Games | |
| | Fields of Fortune | · EA | $8.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $2.4k (exactly $2,427) | UC Studios |
| | Drug Farmer Simulator | · EA | $7.99 | 9 11% | 270 | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) | GOOSE GAME |
| | 公考刷题模拟器-我要上岸 | $3.99 | 18 61% | 540 | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) | DoubleGame | |
| | Cozy Gardener Simulator | · EA | $5.99 | 9 22% | 270 | $1.6k (exactly $1,617) | Noodels Games World |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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