Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Logic

Only 15 developers shipped a Logic Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Farmer Was Replaced, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $2.7M, ×5752 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 25 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $505 → $180 → $3.9k → $2.2k → $2.2k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,157)
Top 25% $9.3k (exactly $9,348)
Top 5% $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 39
Announced 25
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action-Adventure, Automation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Minimalist
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 9,596 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $9.3k, 1 in 20 over $2.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
Tower! Simulator 3 older $59.99 1,047 67% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,286) FeelThere
The Last FARMER $12.99 258 56% 7.7k $101k (exactly $100,543) Geekon
Tiny Garden $12.99 108 85% 3.2k $42k (exactly $42,088) Ao Norte
Assembly Planter older $4.99 243 90% 7.3k $36k (exactly $36,377) Timon Herzog
Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle older $1.99 463 94% 14k $28k (exactly $27,641) Mens Sana Interactive
Instant Farmer - Logic Puzzle older $1.99 160 91% 4.8k $9.6k (exactly $9,552) Mens Sana Interactive
Yet Another Incremental Game (but this time about coding) · EA $7.99 39 71% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Raclette Games
Happy Piggy $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Card Homestead $6.99 17 82% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) CoffeeNap Games
Fields of Fortune · EA $8.99 9 100% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) UC Studios
Drug Farmer Simulator · EA $7.99 9 11% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) GOOSE GAME
公考刷题模拟器-我要上岸 $3.99 18 61% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) DoubleGame
Cozy Gardener Simulator · EA $5.99 9 22% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Noodels Games World

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.