Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Inventory Management Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Inventory Management

Of 59 developers who shipped an Inventory Management Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 91 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×501 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 91 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 91 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $50k → $14k → $21k → $1.5k → $2.1k → $12k → $1.6k (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $35,278)
Top 5% $238k (exactly $238,022)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 114
Announced 91
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Inventory Management; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Crafting, Immersive Sim
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 7,377 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 91 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Travellers Rest · EA older $17.99 16,538 87% 496k $8.9M (exactly $8,925,559) Isolated Games
Farm Manager 2018 older $19.99 2,524 70% 76k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,643) Cleversan Games
Farm Manager 2021 older $19.99 2,296 79% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,911) Cleversan Games
Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping $7.49 3,386 95% 102k $761k (exactly $760,834) Lunheim Studios
Center Station Simulator · EA older $19.99 554 87% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Nightmare Phoenix
Farming & Supermarket Simulator $11.99 835 79% 25k $300k (exactly $300,350) EY08 Games
Farm Expert 2017 older $19.99 462 38% 14k $277k (exactly $277,061) Silden
Mudborne: Frog Management Sim $7.99 993 96% 30k $238k (exactly $238,022) ellraiser, TNgineers
Elf Sex Farm older $14.99 492 75% 15k $221k (exactly $221,252) R's
World End Diner $16.99 415 93% 12k $212k (exactly $211,525) Andymente
Weed Supermarket Simulator $14.99 420 87% 13k $189k (exactly $188,874) DreamWay Games
Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator $14.99 390 95% 12k $175k (exactly $175,383) BitBros Inc
Cozy Keep: Farm, Craft, Manage · EA $14.99 315 93% 9.5k $142k (exactly $141,656) Unbossed Games
Time to Morp $19.99 178 79% 5.3k $107k (exactly $106,747) Team HalfBeard
Medieval Horse Dealer Simulator $17.99 193 89% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) One Slice of Pizza Games
Ranch Farm and Store Simulator $12.99 252 84% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bewolba Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.