Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Interactive Fiction

Only 7 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, My Party Needs An Alchemist, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $600 against a market of $480. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Farming Sim + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,163)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $23,988)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 27
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,832 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $600, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 15 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Adios older $17.99 1,047 94% 31k $565k (exactly $565,066) Mischief
My Party Needs An Alchemist $19.99 40 87% 1.2k $24k (exactly $23,988) Gilded Rune Games
古代风流传 older $1.45 499 72% 15k $22k (exactly $21,706) Turtle game
Flower Shop: Summer In Fairbrook older $9.99 50 64% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Winter Wolves
Magical Greenhouse $6.99 58 93% 1.7k $12k (exactly $12,163) Mgtt Studio
The Lost Legends of Redwall: Feasts & Friends older $4.99 26 92% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Soma Games
山间有点田-Sweet In the Mountains older $11.99 10 70% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) 橙光游戏
CosmoOdyssey 2: Comeback to origin older $1.99 59 94% 1.8k $3.5k (exactly $3,522) Brenntkopf Development
Bunny Eureka · EA older $3.99 29 96% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) Li Min
Space to Grow older $6.99 14 92% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Metasepia Games
Simulation $3.99 10 80% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) eCho Software
Animal Cafe $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) LayDown Games
IDLE PET UFO $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) 電脳鈴木組
Beyond the Soil: Farming & Tales $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Mavi Game Lab
巅峰之路 $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) 橙光游戏

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.