Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Horror

Of 22 developers who shipped a Horror Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $10k, ×21 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $820k, ×1743 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 32 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 21.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 32 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $148 → $63k → $599 → $24k (still earning) → $7.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,348)
Median $10k (exactly $10,190)
Top 25% $111k (exactly $110,512)
Top 5% $828k (exactly $827,834)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 40
Announced 32
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Crafting
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 14,214 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $820k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 3 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Berry Bury Berry $7.99 8,619 98% 259k $2.1M (exactly $2,065,974) Get(Color) Games
Ravenous Devils older $4.99 9,477 92% 284k $1.4M (exactly $1,418,707) Bad Vices Games
Village in the Shade $49.99 552 91% 17k $828k (exactly $827,834) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
Welcome to Elderfield $17.99 1,334 87% 40k $720k (exactly $719,960) Chris Cote
Adios older $17.99 1,047 94% 31k $565k (exactly $565,066) Mischief
Grunn $12.99 1,345 95% 40k $524k (exactly $524,146) Sokpop Collective, Tom van den Boogaart
Goblin Nest $6.99 1,177 93% 35k $247k (exactly $246,817) BadColor
Harvest Island older $24.99 228 82% 6.8k $171k (exactly $170,932) Yobob
Dread Fields $6.99 527 98% 16k $111k (exactly $110,512) Podoba Interactive
Dismantling Workshop of Bio-Girl $29.99 120 61% 3.6k $108k (exactly $107,964) 渡里laboratory
One Man´s Trash $6.85 308 84% 9.2k $63k (exactly $63,294) Jony Pazu Games
Besmirch · EA $9.99 79 97% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Gangru Games
Cryptid Farm $4.99 153 96% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) GameByFlamey

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.