Games › Farming Sim › Farming Sim + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Historical
Only 15 developers shipped a Historical Farming Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Halcyon Days at Taoyuan, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $24k, ×38 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×624 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 21 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
|---|---|
| Median | $24k (exactly $23,923) |
| Top 25% | $216k (exactly $215,914) |
| Top 5% | $392k (exactly $391,713) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $13.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim
- Price point
- $13.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 3,373 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 3 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator 2022 · $23M 
Ostriv 2020 · EA · $5.1M 
Halcyon Days at Taoyuan 2026 · $392k 
Chinese Frontiers 2025 · $385k 
Viking Frontiers 2025 · $322k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator | older | $19.99 | 37,870 92% | 1.1M | $23M (exactly $22,710,639) | niceplay games |
| | Ostriv | · EA older | $24.99 | 6,866 94% | 206k | $5.1M (exactly $5,147,440) | yevhen8 |
| | Halcyon Days at Taoyuan | $11.99 | 1,089 89% | 33k | $392k (exactly $391,713) | BotanX | |
| | Chinese Frontiers | $24.99 | 514 72% | 15k | $385k (exactly $385,346) | SolidGames | |
| | Viking Frontiers | $19.99 | 537 51% | 16k | $322k (exactly $322,039) | BLUM Entertainment | |
 | Of Life and Land | $24.99 | 288 82% | 8.6k | $216k (exactly $215,914) | Kerzoven | |
 | Summa Expeditionis | $19.99 | 305 68% | 9.2k | $183k (exactly $182,908) | Lobico Games | |
 | Ninja Village | older | $8.99 | 546 93% | 16k | $147k (exactly $147,256) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd |
 | 汉尘：腐草为萤 | · EA | $7.99 | 305 71% | 9.2k | $73k (exactly $73,108) | 兰廷科技 Lanting Technology Co., Ltd. |
 | Museum No.9 | $9.99 | 208 75% | 6.2k | $62k (exactly $62,338) | YaoYi Technology | |
 | The Home County | · EA | $13.99 | 57 91% | 1.7k | $24k (exactly $23,923) | Swanworth |
 | Ranchbound | · EA | $17.99 | 44 50% | 1.3k | $24k (exactly $23,747) | Eldersong Games |
 | Life in red line | · EA | $17.99 | 26 76% | 780 | $14k (exactly $14,032) | Pecha games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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