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Should I ship a Fantasy Gun Customization game?
Gun Customization + Fantasy
Of 46 developers who shipped a Fantasy Gun Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 85 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $19k, ×31 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 85 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 25% | $2.9k (exactly $2,873) |
| Top 5% | $19k (exactly $19,418) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 46 |
| Released games | 118 |
| Announced | 85 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Fantasy
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,185 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 85 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Spellmasons | older | $19.99 | 1,122 91% | 34k | $673k (exactly $672,863) | Octavia Blue |
| | That Time I Got Reincarnated as a Slime ISEKAI Chronicles | older | $49.99 | 294 52% | 8.8k | $441k (exactly $440,912) | ZOC Co.,Ltd. |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Dakka Squadron - Flyboyz Edition | older | $19.99 | 416 78% | 12k | $249k (exactly $249,475) | Phosphor Game Studios |
| | Anima : The Reign of Darkness | older | $11.99 | 613 69% | 18k | $220k (exactly $220,496) | Redeev |
| | Get To Work, Succubus-Chan! | older | $9.99 | 480 78% | 14k | $144k (exactly $143,856) | SmallSqurriel, Eternal Alice Game |
| | Machick 2 | $6.99 | 606 88% | 18k | $127k (exactly $127,078) | DeadPixel | |
| | LEVEL UP 80 | older | $39.99 | 99 79% | 3.0k | $119k (exactly $118,770) | Galactic Geckon |
| | Dreadhunter | · EA older | $24.99 | 141 77% | 4.2k | $106k (exactly $105,708) | Trickster Arts |
| | Slavania | older | $15.99 | 202 61% | 6.1k | $97k (exactly $96,899) | FrostLeaf Games LLC |
| | Machick | older | $6.99 | 208 84% | 6.2k | $44k (exactly $43,618) | DeadPixel |
| | Runehaven | $9.99 | 119 91% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $35,664) | Cikoria Studio | |
| | Gunforged | $8.99 | 72 80% | 2.2k | $19k (exactly $19,418) | Firebelley | |
| | Turtle Riders | $4.99 | 115 76% | 3.5k | $17k (exactly $17,216) | Solenya | |
| | Ascendant | $9.99 | 47 70% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | Imagisphere | |
| | SPORTAL | $7.99 | 57 94% | 1.7k | $14k (exactly $13,663) | Sleepwalking Potatoes | |
| | Chumini: Tiny Army | $4.99 | 82 93% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,275) | Guilloteam | |
| | Wish Me Well | · EA | $4.99 | 60 81% | 1.8k | $9.0k (exactly $8,982) | Starrow Castles |
| | Magical Hellhound Lust | · EA | $19.99 | 13 53% | 390 | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) | Mildaponno |
| | ALARIC | $14.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) | Dominik Grigoras |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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