Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith PvP game?

PvP + Faith

Only 7 developers shipped a paid Faith PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Valkyrie of Phantasm, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 10 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.1k against a market of $1.5k. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 10 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for PvP + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,100)
Top 25% $114k (exactly $114,417)
Top 5% $500k (exactly $500,233)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 30
Announced 10
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 40%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP
Price point
$10.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,962 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.6k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $500k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Valkyrie of Phantasm $29.99 556 86% 17k $500k (exactly $500,233) AREAZERO
GENSOU Skydrift older $23.99 561 88% 17k $404k (exactly $403,752) illuCalab
AutoChess of Gensokyo · EA older $15.99 355 67% 11k $170k (exactly $170,294) MyACG Studio
TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX older $19.99 200 86% 6.0k $120k (exactly $119,940) AREAZERO
TOUHOU GENSOU MAHJONG $34.99 109 46% 3.3k $114k (exactly $114,417) D.N.A. Softwares
Touhou DollDraft older $14.99 38 68% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) milliondoubts
Clash II older $4.99 88 69% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,174) Prime Bit Games SA
Dreamy Duels ~ Tales of Heroes in Gensoukyo · EA older $7.99 26 65% 780 $6.2k (exactly $6,232) IGensoukyo
zoku sonohigurashi vs touhou universe 2 older $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) 青春18金魚
GensouKoroKoro $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) mitiroom
2Deez $10.00 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,100) Kris Dabrowski
Towers Saga $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Wise Up Games
HillbillyHellfire $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Slagathor Studios
Dragon and Phoenix $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) pengjianNiu

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.