Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Exploration game?

Exploration + Time Travel

Of 59 developers who shipped a Time-Travel Exploration game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 140 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $580k, ×1223 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 140 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 140 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.6k → $899 → $3.0k → $4.9k → $6.0k → $2.1k (still earning) → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $750 (exactly $750)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Top 25% $81k (exactly $80,668)
Top 5% $581k (exactly $581,109)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 206
Announced 140
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Exploration; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Investigation
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 9,934 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $80k, 1 in 20 over $580k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 7 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 140 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  3. + SpaceshipsFair22 devs · median $3.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  7. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  8. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  10. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  11. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  12. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Forgotten City older $24.99 11,159 96% 335k $8.4M (exactly $8,365,902) Modern Storyteller
Five Nights at Freddy's: Into the Pit older $19.99 10,164 95% 305k $6.1M (exactly $6,095,351) Mega Cat Studios
Twelve Minutes older $24.99 7,408 73% 222k $5.6M (exactly $5,553,778) Luis Antonio
Enigma of Fear $29.99 3,045 95% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) Dumativa, Cellbit
Timespinner older $19.99 2,823 86% 85k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,953) Lunar Ray Games
Truberbrook / Trüberbrook older $29.99 1,473 73% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,325,258) btf
CHRONO CROSS: THE RADICAL DREAMERS EDITION older $19.99 2,174 62% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,303,748) Square Enix, D4Enterprise Co.,Ltd.
A Perfect Day older $19.99 1,733 84% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,039,280) Perfect Day Studio
Wanderer older $39.99 824 83% 25k $989k (exactly $988,553) Mighty Eyes
Rue Valley $14.99 1,905 69% 57k $857k (exactly $856,678) Emotion Spark Studio
Old Skies $19.99 969 93% 29k $581k (exactly $581,109) Wadjet Eye Games
Million Depth $16.99 673 93% 20k $343k (exactly $343,028) Cyber Space Biotope
The Posthumous Investigation $19.99 554 94% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Mother Gaia Studio
Cybernetic Fault $14.99 679 78% 20k $305k (exactly $305,346) Whale Rock Games
Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate $49.99 149 62% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) Mighty Eyes
Villages & Dungeons $6.99 1,036 91% 31k $217k (exactly $217,249) CaCaFrog Studio
Radiolight $14.99 414 90% 12k $186k (exactly $186,176) Krystof Knesl
Chronoquartz $9.99 510 98% 15k $153k (exactly $152,847) Infinite Stairs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.