Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Time Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Exploration Time Attack game?

Exploration + Time Attack

Only 14 developers shipped an Exploration Time Attack game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hoverflow, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $67k, ×142 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 24 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Time Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $49k → $1.1k → $6.6k → $16k → $2.8k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Time Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $67k (exactly $67,455)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 132
Announced 24
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $0.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Time Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Exploration, Time Attack; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Collectathon, Creature Collector
Price point
$0.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoony, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $0.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,017 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $67k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  3. + SpaceshipsFair22 devs · median $3.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  7. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  8. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  10. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  11. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  12. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror's Edge™ older $19.99 31,195 87% 936k $19M (exactly $18,707,642) DICE
Motor Town: Behind The Wheel · EA older $19.99 8,971 93% 269k $5.4M (exactly $5,379,909) P3 Games
Hot Lava older $19.99 5,335 92% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) Klei Entertainment
Yellow Taxi Goes Vroom older $16.99 1,621 97% 49k $826k (exactly $826,224) Panik Arcade
Hoverflow $14.99 150 93% 4.5k $67k (exactly $67,455) Simon In Motion
Whitewater VR: Extreme Kayaking Adventure older $19.99 82 81% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,175) Adam Horvath
Glyph☀️ older $9.99 106 92% 3.2k $32k (exactly $31,768) Bolverk Games
Ells Tales: Chairbound $1.99 269 81% 8.1k $16k (exactly $16,059) Ells&Pills
Super Dangerous Dungeons older $4.99 106 98% 3.2k $16k (exactly $15,868) Adventure Islands
Tiny Dangerous Dungeons older $4.99 83 95% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,425) Adventure Islands
100 Cats London $1.99 111 96% 3.3k $6.6k (exactly $6,627) 100 Cats
100 Cats Singapore $0.99 113 93% 3.4k $3.4k (exactly $3,356) 100 Cats
100 Cats Belgrade $1.99 54 90% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,224) 100 Cats
The Confinement $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Mr. Dev Studio
Find Cats in the Casino $0.99 94 94% 2.8k $2.8k (exactly $2,792) MeowSignal
100 Cats Mexico $0.99 89 89% 2.7k $2.6k (exactly $2,643) 100 Cats
Hidden Pets: 101 Cats in Tokyo $0.99 72 88% 2.2k $2.1k (exactly $2,138) NaipSoft
Hidden Pets: 101 Cats in Los Angeles $0.99 55 90% 1.7k $1.6k (exactly $1,634) NaipSoft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.