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Should I ship an Exploration Solitaire game?
Exploration + Solitaire
Of 29 developers who shipped an Exploration Solitaire game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $200 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 15 developers shipped in the last year and 35 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $89 (exactly $89) |
|---|---|
| Median | $200 (exactly $200) |
| Top 25% | $2.6k (exactly $2,601) |
| Top 5% | $92k (exactly $92,284) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 29 |
| Released games | 89 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 855% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Exploration
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Solitaire
- effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Exploration, Solitaire; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Card Game, Puzzle
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 34% positive over 22,848 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $89. All of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Exploration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + SpaceshipsFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + WuxiaPoor odds
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + FMVPoor odds
- + FarmingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BidKing | $2.99 | 22,238 33% | 667k | $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) | MindSurge Network & Games | |
| | Tested on Humans: Escape Room | older | $9.99 | 434 87% | 13k | $130k (exactly $130,070) | mc2games |
| | Factory Planner | · EA | $7.99 | 385 70% | 12k | $92k (exactly $92,284) | Lebleby Games |
| | FreeCell Quest | older | $9.99 | 278 81% | 8.3k | $83k (exactly $83,317) | Legend Studio |
| | Solitaire Christmas. Match 2 Cards | older | $14.99 | 88 72% | 2.6k | $40k (exactly $39,574) | Creobit |
| | Lenin - The Lion | older | $11.99 | 102 90% | 3.1k | $37k (exactly $36,689) | Lornyon |
| | Faerie Solitaire Dire | · EA older | $19.99 | 41 68% | 1.2k | $25k (exactly $24,588) | Subsoap |
| | Deca | older | $18.99 | 43 83% | 1.3k | $24k (exactly $24,497) | Chrome Horizon 3D |
| | Lianhai Casino | older | $8.99 | 81 91% | 2.4k | $22k (exactly $21,846) | 致意 |
| | Myha: Return to the Lost Island | older | $14.99 | 45 75% | 1.4k | $20k (exactly $20,236) | Denis Martin, Simon Says: Play! |
| | Dark Atlas: Infernum | $14.99 | 39 82% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $17,538) | Night Council Studio | |
| | Decks of the Damned | $9.99 | 54 68% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | Thorian Games | |
| | Myth Monkey Card | $5.99 | 62 100% | 1.9k | $11k (exactly $11,141) | Myth Card Studio | |
| | No Vacancy Tonight | $8.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $6.5k (exactly $6,473) | Momiji Games | |
| | Seven Seas Jewels 2 Collector's Edition | $15.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) | Anawiki Games | |
| | Forest 6174 | $2.99 | 29 82% | 870 | $2.6k (exactly $2,601) | itandfeel | |
| | Mahjong Expedition | $8.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | COSO | |
| | Find The Flaw | $4.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | XSGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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