Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Exploration Point & Click game?

Exploration + Point & Click

Of 634 developers who shipped an Exploration Point & Click game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 940 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×751 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 940 games are announced against 362 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 940 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 634
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $2.6k → $3.0k → $2.1k → $1.6k → $3.2k → $2.1k (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 634
Bottom 30% $418 (exactly $418)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,063)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,086)
Top 5% $357k (exactly $356,822)
Developers, 2 yr 634
Released games 2,299
Announced 940
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Exploration, Point & Click; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Visual Novel
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 45,778 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 433 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 940 games are announced against 362 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  3. + SpaceshipsFair22 devs · median $3.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  7. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  8. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  10. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  11. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  12. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut older $39.99 118,124 92% 3.5M $142M (exactly $141,713,363) ZA/UM
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc older $19.99 36,194 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,705,542) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd., Abstraction G… (Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd., Abstraction Games)
Chants of Sennaar older $19.99 30,416 98% 912k $18M (exactly $18,240,475) Rundisc
Escape Simulator older $19.99 16,496 94% 495k $9.9M (exactly $9,892,651) Pine Studio
Gorogoa older $14.99 19,172 97% 575k $8.6M (exactly $8,621,648) Buried Signal
Strange Horticulture older $15.99 14,867 94% 446k $7.1M (exactly $7,131,700) Bad Viking
Esoteric Ebb $24.99 8,719 95% 262k $6.5M (exactly $6,536,634) Christoffer Bodegård
Unheard - Voices of Crime older $6.99 30,978 95% 929k $6.5M (exactly $6,496,087) NEXT Studios
Gone Home older $14.99 13,619 77% 409k $6.1M (exactly $6,124,464) Fullbright
Five Nights at Freddy's: Into the Pit older $19.99 10,164 95% 305k $6.1M (exactly $6,095,351) Mega Cat Studios
Endacopia $16.50 6,474 99% 194k $3.2M (exactly $3,204,630) Andyland
Urban Myth Dissolution Center $17.99 5,930 88% 178k $3.2M (exactly $3,200,421) Hakababunko
Escape Simulator 2 $19.99 4,292 92% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,573,912) Pine Studio
Whisper of the House $14.99 5,344 96% 160k $2.4M (exactly $2,403,197) 元气弹工作室(GD Studio)
The Rise of the Golden Idol $19.99 3,786 92% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,464) Color Gray Games
Strange Antiquities $17.99 3,288 95% 99k $1.8M (exactly $1,774,534) Bad Viking
Citizen Sleeper 2: Starward Vector $24.99 2,358 91% 71k $1.8M (exactly $1,767,793) Jump Over The Age
BitCraft Online · EA $15.99 3,334 72% 100k $1.6M (exactly $1,599,320) Clockwork Laboratories, Inc.
Aurelia $19.99 2,253 94% 68k $1.4M (exactly $1,351,124) MirthalGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.