Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Exploration Party Game?

Exploration + Party Game

Of 63 developers who shipped an Exploration Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 221 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $92k, ×194 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 221 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 221 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $1.3k → $537 → $1.6k (still earning) → $538 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,662)
Top 5% $92k (exactly $92,284)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 84
Announced 221
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 510% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Exploration, Party Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Online Co-Op, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 13,621 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $92k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 221 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  3. + SpaceshipsFair22 devs · median $3.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  7. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  8. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  10. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  11. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  12. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ale & Tale Tavern older $14.99 8,692 88% 261k $3.9M (exactly $3,908,792) Scienart Games
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
Voyagers of Nera · EA $29.99 2,022 83% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,819,193) Treehouse Games
Crumble older $14.99 681 89% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) BRUTE FORCE
SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 older $49.99 149 53% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) KONAMI
WE ARE SO DEAD · EA $7.99 672 73% 20k $161k (exactly $161,078) REAL PLAYERS
Don't Panic! It is Just Turbulence $7.99 385 72% 12k $92k (exactly $92,284) Harmonia Games
Frog Sqwad 🐸 $7.99 352 72% 11k $84k (exactly $84,374) Panic Stations
Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC $12.99 181 95% 5.4k $71k (exactly $70,536) German Bandera
Bar After Bar $6.99 331 87% 9.9k $69k (exactly $69,411) OneMan Tim
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Shady job $7.99 114 70% 3.4k $27k (exactly $27,326) GAZE IN GAMES
Vessel $6.99 116 17% 3.5k $24k (exactly $24,325) OJStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.