Games › Exploration › Exploration + Music-Based Procedural Generation
Should I ship an Exploration Music-Based Procedural Generation game?
Exploration + Music-Based Procedural Generation
Only 11 developers shipped an Exploration Music-Based Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Enigma of Fear, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×2.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $2.7M, ×5768 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) |
| Top 25% | $1.6k (exactly $1,618) |
| Top 5% | $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Exploration
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Music-Based Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Exploration, Music-Based Procedural Generation
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 95% positive over 3,210 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Exploration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + SpaceshipsFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + WuxiaPoor odds
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + FMVPoor odds
- + FarmingPoor odds
Comparable games
Enigma of Fear 2024 · $2.7M 
Mutazione 2019 · $673k 
Beat Hazard 3 2024 · $351k 
A Highland Song 2023 · $298k 
Tales From Off-Peak City Vol. 1 2020 · $160k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Enigma of Fear | $29.99 | 3,045 95% | 91k | $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) | Dumativa, Cellbit | |
| | Mutazione | older | $19.99 | 1,123 95% | 34k | $673k (exactly $673,463) | Die Gute Fabrik |
| | Beat Hazard 3 | older | $19.99 | 586 84% | 18k | $351k (exactly $351,424) | Cold Beam Games |
| | A Highland Song | older | $17.99 | 553 87% | 17k | $298k (exactly $298,454) | inkle Ltd |
| | Tales From Off-Peak City Vol. 1 | older | $9.99 | 533 98% | 16k | $160k (exactly $159,740) | Cosmo D |
 | ODDADA | older | $9.99 | 335 96% | 10k | $100k (exactly $100,400) | Sven Ahlgrimm, Mathilde Hoffmann, Basti… (Sven Ahlgrimm, Mathilde Hoffmann, Bastian Clausdorff) |
 | Mix Universe | · EA older | $14.99 | 113 95% | 3.4k | $51k (exactly $50,816) | Chris Zukowski |
 | Fragrance Point | $8.00 | 113 96% | 3.4k | $27k (exactly $27,120) | Halber Ball | |
 | Expand | older | $5.99 | 119 91% | 3.6k | $21k (exactly $21,384) | Chris Johnson, Chris Larkin |
 | Seashell | older | $3.99 | 139 96% | 4.2k | $17k (exactly $16,638) | High Tea Frog |
 | Motel Nightmares | $8.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.6k (exactly $1,618) | KOZARI | |
 | Turbotz Testing 20XX | $4.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | Zed-ex | |
 | Ovation | $4.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | C.K. Games | |
 | Shy Cats Hidden Orchestra 2 - The Return | $5.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | Enchant Games | |
 | Grubby Fingers | $2.00 | 17 88% | 510 | $1.0k (exactly $1,020) | tober | |
 | T-Drum | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | LV Studio | |
 | Final Forge | · EA | $2.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | OPS Game Studio |
 | Sparrow Country | · EA | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Binary Gauss Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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