Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Medical Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Exploration Medical Sim?

Exploration + Medical Sim

Only 14 developers shipped an Exploration Medical Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ambulance Life: A Paramedic Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×9.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.8k against a market of $480. 39 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 3485% on the market, 39 announced, ×9.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Medical Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $1.4k → $300 → $6.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Medical Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,779)
Top 5% $893k (exactly $893,402)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 32
Announced 39
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3485% on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Exploration, Medical Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Crafting, Life Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 56% positive over 1,362 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $890k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  3. + SpaceshipsFair22 devs · median $3.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  7. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  8. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  10. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  11. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  12. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Mortuary Assistant older $24.99 7,269 92% 218k $5.4M (exactly $5,449,569) DarkStone Digital
Ambulance Life: A Paramedic Simulator $29.99 993 50% 30k $893k (exactly $893,402) Aesir Interactive
Lost Scavenger · EA older $14.99 220 51% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Rockbee
Pestis older $24.99 88 77% 2.6k $66k (exactly $65,974) DIEDEMOR STUDIO GAMES
Orgasm Lab Simulator 💦🍌 $14.99 119 69% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) BanzaiProject
Herbals tycoon · EA $9.99 123 76% 3.7k $37k (exactly $36,863) Orange Paper Studio
Insiders older $13.99 40 80% 1.2k $17k (exactly $16,788) ANG People s.r.o.
Witch Please: Sex Service $7.99 70 65% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,779) Aquilon
Elixir older $12.99 28 89% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Moxu Projects
69 Lisa Love older $4.99 51 86% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Loolust
FORENSIC - M.E. Protocol $12.49 16 62% 480 $6.0k (exactly $5,995) k148 Game Studio
Pharma Craft $6.99 28 75% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) ZD Yazilim
Rod of Asclepius $19.99 3 100% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Worcco Arts
易经·占卜 $6.00 8 75% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,440) 三页先生
Queen Naeja's Desires $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) SongGame
Caduceus Quest $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Resilient Games Studio, LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.