Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Exploration Local Co-Op game?

Exploration + Local Co-Op

Of 93 developers who shipped an Exploration Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 213 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×8.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×774 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 213 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 213 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 93
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $17k → $9.6k → $3.6k → $1.8k → $14k → $2.4k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 93
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,284)
Top 5% $368k (exactly $367,616)
Developers, 2 yr 93
Released games 290
Announced 213
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Exploration, Local Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Co-op, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 40,683 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 9 in 10 of the 51 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 213 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  3. + SpaceshipsFair22 devs · median $3.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  5. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  7. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  8. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  10. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  11. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  12. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition older $44.99 180,782 95% 5.4M $244M (exactly $244,001,465) Larian Studios
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition older $29.99 47,176 94% 1.4M $42M (exactly $42,444,247) Thunder Lotus
Outward Definitive Edition older $39.99 24,636 72% 739k $30M (exactly $29,555,809) Nine Dots Studio
Grounded 2 · EA $29.99 21,442 82% 643k $19M (exactly $19,291,367) Obsidian Entertainment, Eidos-Montréal
REANIMAL $39.99 13,809 78% 414k $17M (exactly $16,566,657) Tarsier Studios
Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition older $34.99 12,060 87% 362k $13M (exactly $12,659,382) Sabotage Studio
Goat Simulator 3 older $29.99 13,779 97% 413k $12M (exactly $12,396,966) Coffee Stain North
Portal Knights older $19.99 16,885 83% 507k $10M (exactly $10,125,934) Keen Games GmbH
Amazing Frog? · EA older $19.99 11,169 94% 335k $6.7M (exactly $6,698,049) Fayju
LEGO® Voyagers $24.99 1,859 88% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,393,692) Light Brick Studio
Primal Planet $19.99 629 88% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Seethingswarm
Schrodinger's Cat Burglar $19.99 613 97% 18k $368k (exactly $367,616) Abandoned Sheep
Windswept $19.99 470 92% 14k $282k (exactly $281,859) WeatherFell
Together: Moon Escape $9.99 868 90% 26k $260k (exactly $260,140) CarlosGameDev
Coridden $19.99 426 89% 13k $255k (exactly $255,472) Aftnareld
Tearscape $14.99 334 90% 10k $150k (exactly $150,200) NERDS TAKE OVER
The Awakener: Battle Tendency $14.98 233 74% 7.0k $105k (exactly $104,710) TANER GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.