Do I ship it?

GamesPhysicsPhysics + Escape Room

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Escape Room game?

Physics + Escape Room

Only 13 developers shipped a Physics Escape Room game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Together: Moon Escape, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×414 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 11 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Escape Room
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $748 → $539 → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Escape Room: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 5% $260k (exactly $260,140)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 37
Announced 11
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Escape Room
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Escape Room; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Puzzle, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Linear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 922 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Together: Moon Escape $9.99 868 90% 26k $260k (exactly $260,140) CarlosGameDev
The Escaper older $3.99 729 93% 22k $87k (exactly $87,261) Nocturnal works
Dr Livingstone, I Presume? Reversed Escape Room older $14.99 115 73% 3.5k $52k (exactly $51,716) Vulpesoft
Nevrosa: Escape older $14.99 103 79% 3.1k $46k (exactly $46,319) GexagonVR
Paranormal Detective: Escape from the 80's older $9.99 82 92% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,575) LunaBeat
The Atlas Mystery: A VR Puzzle Game older $14.99 47 87% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Top Right Corner
Paranormal Detective: Escape from the 90's older $11.99 53 79% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,064) LunaBeat
Stocksynd House older $7.99 53 83% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,704) CyberFlux Games, Gabro Media
Area 86 older $9.99 23 73% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) SimDevs
ENDLOOP older $3.99 48 62% 1.4k $5.7k (exactly $5,746) Icehelm
Project 7: Escape Room $6.99 19 47% 570 $4.0k (exactly $3,984) M9 Games
电梯 Elevator · EA $5.99 15 40% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) BS Studio
Whitematter $12.99 5 100% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Exothermic Games
Crossed Wires $11.99 5 100% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Aleth Labs
Klobgniak $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Askaspras
Tammuz: Blood & Sand $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Bad GOAT Studio, Clover Bite
Dear Lighthouse $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) NLX2
Escape Together: Secrets of the Professor $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) TeNiTinyGames
Prison Out $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) LOOSE CREATE

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.