Games › Mystery Dungeon › Mystery Dungeon + Dystopian
Should I ship a Dystopian Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Dystopian
Only 9 developers shipped a Dystopian Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Midnight Murder Maze, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $2.5k, ×5.3 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $598 (exactly $598) |
| Top 25% | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) |
| Top 5% | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Dystopian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 185 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DreamBreak | older | $6.99 | 48 56% | 1.4k | $10k (exactly $10,066) | Fortell Games |
| | JongRo 3_Street | older | $6.99 | 31 58% | 930 | $6.5k (exactly $6,501) | BlueKim |
| | Magirune 2 | older | $4.99 | 36 100% | 1.1k | $5.4k (exactly $5,389) | Fluffy Lotus |
| | Midnight Murder Maze | $6.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Rum Shack Studios LLC | |
| | The Backrooms: Forsaken | $5.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Fred Grant Studios | |
| | The Cesspit | older | $4.99 | 11 54% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | BlueTale |
| | FEEDERS | · EA | $3.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | Luvi Technologies |
| | Legend of the Moon | older | $2.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.1k (exactly $1,076) | GozipGame |
| | The Complex Tragedy | older | $2.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | Kubilay Dekin |
| | Odessa | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Aldorlea Games | |
| | OKIRO | $3.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | Ziya Gao, Songya Xu, Zhenxi Zhang, Tina… (Ziya Gao, Songya Xu, Zhenxi Zhang, Tina Yao) | |
| | Dustline | $1.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | Dustline Studio | |
| | United Heist: Facility Zero | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | No more Sleep | |
| | Cursed station | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Bloqiya M.R.W | |
| | CONCRETE BURIAL | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Games From The Abyss |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.