Should I ship a Dystopian FMV?
FMV + Dystopian
Only 3 developers shipped a Dystopian FMV in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 10 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $97k against a market of $480. 12 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.2k (exactly $2,249) |
|---|---|
| Median | $39k (exactly $38,661) |
| Top 25% | $97k (exactly $96,803) |
| Top 5% | $148k (exactly $147,551) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- FMV
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 12,688 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 12 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FMV with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SurvivalStrong odds
- + Post-apocalypticStrong odds
- + StrategyStrong odds
- + Multiple EndingsStrong odds
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + Choices MatterStrong odds
- + Dating SimStrong odds
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + SimulationStrong odds
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + Visual NovelStrong odds
- + RPGStrong odds
Comparable games
Not For Broadcast 2022 · $7.7M 
Tesla Effect: A Tex Murphy Adventure 2014 · $377k 
Blade Runner: Enhanced Edition 2022 · $185k 
SLEEP AWAKE 2025 · $148k 
[ECHOSTASIS] 2024 · $129k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Not For Broadcast | older | $24.99 | 10,337 94% | 310k | $7.7M (exactly $7,749,649) | NotGames |
| | Tesla Effect: A Tex Murphy Adventure | older | $19.99 | 628 90% | 19k | $377k (exactly $376,612) | Big Finish Games |
| | Blade Runner: Enhanced Edition | older | $9.99 | 617 74% | 19k | $185k (exactly $184,915) | Nightdive Studios, Westwood Studios |
| | SLEEP AWAKE | $29.99 | 164 71% | 4.9k | $148k (exactly $147,551) | EYES OUT, LLC. | |
| | [ECHOSTASIS] | older | $19.99 | 215 90% | 6.5k | $129k (exactly $128,935) | ENIGMA STUDIO |
 | Sex Desert: Mad Lust | $9.99 | 323 61% | 9.7k | $97k (exactly $96,803) | Carnality INC | |
 | Not For Broadcast VR | older | $24.99 | 63 42% | 1.9k | $47k (exactly $47,231) | NotGames, Babaroga |
 | Tex Murphy: Under a Killing Moon | older | $9.99 | 134 96% | 4.0k | $40k (exactly $40,160) | Access Software |
 | Decade | $9.99 | 129 96% | 3.9k | $39k (exactly $38,661) | Last Piscean | |
 | Tex Murphy: The Pandora Directive | older | $9.99 | 78 85% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $23,377) | Access Software |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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