Do I ship it?

GamesOpen World Survival CraftOpen World Survival Craft + Dungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dungeon Crawler Open World Survival Craft?

Open World Survival Craft + Dungeon Crawler

Only 14 developers shipped a Dungeon Crawler Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Len's Island, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $31k, ×23 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $9.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $4.4M, ×3303 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 23.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Open World Survival Craft + Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $31k → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Open World Survival Craft + Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $9.0k (exactly $8,996)
Median $31k (exactly $31,303)
Top 25% $186k (exactly $185,965)
Top 5% $4.4M (exactly $4,449,470)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 28
Announced 18
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $17.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Open World Survival Craft
effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Open World Survival Craft, Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$17.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 12,463 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $9.0k, median $31k, 1 in 4 over $180k, 1 in 20 over $4.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $9.0k. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Open World Survival Craft with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  2. + Co-opPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  4. + Immersive SimPoor odds14 devs · median $183k · 37 announced
  5. + PhysicsPoor odds8 devs · median $183k · 27 announced
  6. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $170k · 25 announced
  7. + MedievalPoor odds13 devs · median $154k · 37 announced
  8. + ShooterPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds22 devs · median $125k · 56 announced
  10. + Sci-fiPoor odds32 devs · median $124k · 76 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds34 devs · median $116k · 60 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced

All 54 pairs on the Open World Survival Craft page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stoneshard · EA older $24.99 34,149 74% 1.0M $26M (exactly $25,601,505) Ink Stains Games
Len's Island $24.99 5,935 82% 178k $4.4M (exactly $4,449,470) Flow Studio
Romestead · EA $13.99 4,660 76% 140k $2.0M (exactly $1,955,802) Beartwigs
Beyond the Map · EA $19.99 764 77% 23k $458k (exactly $458,171) Glitch Goblins
Allumeria · EA $11.99 517 92% 16k $186k (exactly $185,965) Infinimelon
Guardians of the Sanctree $19.99 284 72% 8.5k $170k (exactly $170,315) HuCang Studio
Din's Champion $19.99 160 85% 4.8k $96k (exactly $95,952) Soldak Entertainment
Zero-based World-从零开始 · EA older $18.99 149 68% 4.5k $85k (exactly $84,885) zerogame
MoonQuest older $19.99 80 75% 2.4k $48k (exactly $47,976) Wizard Mode
HAINYA WORLD · EA older $14.99 72 80% 2.2k $32k (exactly $32,378) NETWORKGO
Native Hunter $17.99 58 72% 1.7k $31k (exactly $31,303) A.P.S
Wild Planet · EA $19.99 41 63% 1.2k $25k (exactly $24,588) MonkeyFactory Media
Until North Ends · EA $12.99 29 86% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Unknown Hex
Fallen Angel: Hell Survival $19.99 15 86% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Strongfinger

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.