Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Dungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization Dungeon Crawler?

Gun Customization + Dungeon Crawler

Of 25 developers who shipped a Gun Customization Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×6.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $60k, ×97 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 58 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 58 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $32k → $42k → $14k → $3.9k → $9.0k (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,897)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,171)
Top 5% $61k (exactly $60,884)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 51
Announced 58
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, Dungeon Crawler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Perma Death, Procedural Generation, Roguelike
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 10,426 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Noita older $19.99 81,149 95% 2.4M $49M (exactly $48,665,055) Nolla Games
SULFUR · EA $24.99 9,641 87% 289k $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858) Perfect Random
Killsquad older $29.99 2,839 71% 85k $2.6M (exactly $2,554,248) Novarama
Revita older $16.99 1,734 83% 52k $884k (exactly $883,820) BenStar
Anima : The Reign of Darkness older $11.99 613 69% 18k $220k (exactly $220,496) Redeev
EVERSLAUGHT · EA older $19.99 336 61% 10k $201k (exactly $201,499) MobX GmbH
LEVEL UP 80 older $39.99 99 79% 3.0k $119k (exactly $118,770) Galactic Geckon
Dreadhunter · EA older $24.99 141 77% 4.2k $106k (exactly $105,708) Trickster Arts
Ogre Chambers 2222 $7.99 254 96% 7.6k $61k (exactly $60,884) ANTENNA GAMES
Schism $11.99 140 96% 4.2k $50k (exactly $50,358) Fami
Runehaven $9.99 119 91% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,664) Cikoria Studio
Cosmos point $12.99 79 79% 2.4k $31k (exactly $30,786) Anatoliy Sidorov
Ascendant $9.99 47 70% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Imagisphere
Type or Die $13.99 29 31% 870 $12k (exactly $12,171) Type or Die
M.O.O.D.S. $12.99 29 82% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) StickyStoneStudio
Wish Me Well · EA $4.99 60 81% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Starrow Castles
ZIX · EA $9.99 28 78% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Hidden IO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.