Games › Mystery Dungeon › Mystery Dungeon + Dragons
Should I ship a Dragon Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Dragons
Only 8 developers shipped a Dragon Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Embers Adrift, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×229 the market median. Revenue is up 1335% on the market; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $58k (exactly $57,571) |
| Top 5% | $144k (exactly $143,928) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1335% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Dragons
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 62% positive over 2,451 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
Hammerwatch II 2023 · $1.4M 
Embers Adrift 2025 · $144k 
Spirit Animal Survival 2026 · $58k 
Labyrinth of the Witch 2020 · $11k 
桃夭塔 TaoYaoTa 2021 · $6.0k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hammerwatch II | older | $24.99 | 1,871 60% | 56k | $1.4M (exactly $1,402,689) | Crackshell |
| | Embers Adrift | $19.99 | 240 69% | 7.2k | $144k (exactly $143,928) | Stormhaven Studios | |
| | Spirit Animal Survival | $19.99 | 96 62% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | TRUEFX GAMES | |
| | Labyrinth of the Witch | older | $14.99 | 25 60% | 750 | $11k (exactly $11,242) | ORANGE CUBE, INC. |
| | 桃夭塔 TaoYaoTa | older | $4.99 | 40 62% | 1.2k | $6.0k (exactly $5,988) | 吃了就睡工作室, 桃之夭夭 |
 | 4 Kingdoms Supremacy | · EA older | $9.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | PiggyNose Games |
 | Cemetery Warrior V | older | $3.99 | 32 71% | 960 | $3.8k (exactly $3,830) | Falco Software |
 | The Magic World | older | $10.99 | 11 72% | 330 | $3.6k (exactly $3,627) | Flame-Dragons, Dmitriy Belonovskiy |
 | Dice & Dungeons | older | $2.99 | 35 68% | 1.1k | $3.1k (exactly $3,140) | Beni Games |
 | Dragon Simulator Multiplayer | older | $0.99 | 84 72% | 2.5k | $2.5k (exactly $2,495) | FreezeNova |
 | Duil | $11.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | JL studio | |
 | Petmancer | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Horse Arms LLC | |
 | The Shadow Crown - Frostwynd Chronicles | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Superhero Panda Ltd | |
 | Forgotten spirit | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | BurningGRP | |
 | Hellsting | · EA | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | DreamMasters Studio |
 | Ninety Nine Dungeons | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Donnie Lee |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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