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Should I ship a Dog Incremental game?
Incremental + Dogs
Of 30 developers who shipped a Dog Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $61k, ×129 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 25 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,884) |
| Top 5% | $61k (exactly $61,377) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 70 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
- Dogs
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Incremental; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Farming Sim
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $5.99 or above
- Art
- 9 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,998 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + OtomeStrong odds
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + LootFair
- + SupernaturalFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Gourdlets | older | $4.99 | 1,954 92% | 59k | $293k (exactly $292,514) | AuntyGames |
| | Lyca | $4.99 | 1,282 81% | 38k | $192k (exactly $191,915) | Syphono4 | |
| | Typing Farmer | $4.99 | 410 87% | 12k | $61k (exactly $61,377) | MilkwayStudio | |
| | Mister Furry | older | $0.99 | 1,947 90% | 58k | $58k (exactly $57,826) | Red Six Development |
| | Furry Company | $5.99 | 133 80% | 4.0k | $24k (exactly $23,900) | Dreamscape Studio | |
| | TV Kid | older | $9.99 | 54 92% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | Astrid Ztar |
| | SEARCH ALL - ANIMALS | older | $2.99 | 87 73% | 2.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,804) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
| | Pasha Planet: Reborn | older | $13.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $5.9k (exactly $5,876) | Scorpio Game CO., LTD. |
| | Animals Memory: Dogs | older | $3.99 | 46 76% | 1.4k | $5.5k (exactly $5,506) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
| | Baimason's Thing Finder Puzzle | older | $5.99 | 30 96% | 900 | $5.4k (exactly $5,391) | Headless Chicken Games |
| | Nekotype Keyboard Cat Simulator | $3.99 | 42 100% | 1.3k | $5.0k (exactly $5,027) | G-GAME | |
| | Tulip Season | $5.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | Poppy Labs | |
| | 60 BPM | $6.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | SPEC Studio | |
| | Coloring Cats: Sports With Friends | $1.99 | 38 97% | 1.1k | $2.3k (exactly $2,269) | Mens Sana Interactive | |
| | SEARCH ALL - BONES | $2.99 | 21 95% | 630 | $1.9k (exactly $1,884) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich | |
| | Tiny Paws | · EA | $2.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $1.8k (exactly $1,794) | UPI Games |
| | Puppy Link - Tile Connect | $2.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | ZT-Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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