Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Incremental game?

Incremental + Dogs

Of 30 developers who shipped a Dog Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $61k, ×129 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 25 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 25 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $1.4k → $1.2k → $1.4k → $718 → $208 (still earning) → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Incremental + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,884)
Top 5% $61k (exactly $61,377)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 70
Announced 25
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Incremental; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Farming Sim
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $5.99 or above
Art
9 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,998 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.8k, 1 in 20 over $61k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $6.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FarmingFair21 devs · median $5.9k · 23 announced
  5. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  6. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  10. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  11. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  12. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gourdlets older $4.99 1,954 92% 59k $293k (exactly $292,514) AuntyGames
Lyca $4.99 1,282 81% 38k $192k (exactly $191,915) Syphono4
Typing Farmer $4.99 410 87% 12k $61k (exactly $61,377) MilkwayStudio
Mister Furry older $0.99 1,947 90% 58k $58k (exactly $57,826) Red Six Development
Furry Company $5.99 133 80% 4.0k $24k (exactly $23,900) Dreamscape Studio
TV Kid older $9.99 54 92% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Astrid Ztar
SEARCH ALL - ANIMALS older $2.99 87 73% 2.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,804) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Pasha Planet: Reborn older $13.99 14 78% 420 $5.9k (exactly $5,876) Scorpio Game CO., LTD.
Animals Memory: Dogs older $3.99 46 76% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Baimason's Thing Finder Puzzle older $5.99 30 96% 900 $5.4k (exactly $5,391) Headless Chicken Games
Nekotype Keyboard Cat Simulator $3.99 42 100% 1.3k $5.0k (exactly $5,027) G-GAME
Tulip Season $5.99 23 100% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Poppy Labs
60 BPM $6.99 12 75% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) SPEC Studio
Coloring Cats: Sports With Friends $1.99 38 97% 1.1k $2.3k (exactly $2,269) Mens Sana Interactive
SEARCH ALL - BONES $2.99 21 95% 630 $1.9k (exactly $1,884) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Tiny Paws · EA $2.99 20 90% 600 $1.8k (exactly $1,794) UPI Games
Puppy Link - Tile Connect $2.99 17 88% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) ZT-Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.